The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kitchener Rangers 72.4%
Draw 13.4%
Guelph Storm 14.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.3%
17.7%
17%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
18.8%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kitchener Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kitchener Rangers's performance.
Guelph Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitchener Rangers than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kitchener Rangers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Kitchener Rangers - Guelph Storm Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 6.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Schaubel J. (G)
55. Ellsworth C. (G)
5. Andonovski M. (A)
17. Babin P.
9. Anstis A.
13. Beauchesne Q. (A)
11. Arquette C.
89. Belohorsky S.
89. Bilecki A.
73. Gallacher L.
17. Cameron W.
75. Haponenko M.
8. Campbell C. (A)
91. Hopkins T. (A)
20. Chiarot G.
19. Jenken N.
16. Edwards D.
93. McFadden W.
13. Ellis H.
72. McKenzie H.
48. Humphreys C.
15. Miedema E.
93. LaBrash J.
22. Pape M.
37. Lam T.
20. Serlin L.
43. MacNiel A.
81. Shybinskyi I.
23. O'Reilly S. (A)
9. Snelgrove P.
24. Pridham J.
21. Spada G.
18. Reid C. (C)
96. Stevens C.
27. Vermeulen A.
12. Topp R. (A)
51. Woolley J.
77. Wycisk J.
Substitutes
65. Kirsch C. (G)
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
13:48, 0 - 1, Topp R. (G), Haponenko M. (A), Snelgrove P. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
02:04, 1 - 1, Pridham J. (G), Humphreys C. (A), Reid C. (A2)
09:19, 2 - 1, Edwards D. (G),
15:18, 3 - 1, Humphreys C. (G), Reid C. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
00:48, 3 - 2, Wycisk J. (G), Shybinskyi I. (A), Stevens C. (A2)
09:31, 4 - 2, Humphreys C. (G), Lam T. (A), Reid C. (A2)
10:54, 5 - 2, Ellis H. (G), Pridham J. (A),
15:51, 6 - 2, Humphreys C. (G), O'Reilly S. (A), Edwards D. (A2)
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitchener won 4.
Kitchener is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Guelph has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Kitchener may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Kitchener is a strong favorite.
We predict that Kitchener will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kitchener won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 76:55. (average 3.8:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Kitchener won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 41:23. (average 4.1:2.3).
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Schaubel J. (G) 
Anstis A. 
Belohorsky S. 
Haponenko M. 
Kirsch C. (G) 
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