The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kitchener Rangers 26.5%
Draw 19.6%
Guelph Storm 53.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26%
20.2%
53.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
22%
49.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kitchener Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Guelph Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitchener Rangers than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Kitchener Rangers - Guelph Storm Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Schaubel J. (G)
62. Hrebik B. (G)
9. Anstis A.
86. Avery J.
11. Arquette C.
15. Bartovic A.
89. Bilecki A. (A)
11. Butler F.
17. Cameron W.
8. Carscadden A.
13. Ellis H.
22. Czata E. (A)
91. Forrest A.
29. Dravecky V.
29. Gombar J.
3. Frossard E.
55. Kut T.
10. Griffin O.
93. LaBrash J.
5. Hirst B.
37. Lam T. (A)
91. Hopkins T.
14. Lukes J.
14. Jenken N.
98. Puglisi C.
28. Kucher C.
44. Roberson R.
25. Roobroeck R.
77. Robinson I.
81. Shybinskyi I.
86. Romano L. (A)
21. Spada G. (A)
23. Santala L.
96. Stevens C.
21. Schneider K.
12. Topp R. (C)
2. Toporowski D.
77. Wycisk J.
Substitutes
30. Hriczov M. (G)
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
00:26, 0 - 1, Hopkins T. (G), Griffin O. (A), Spada G. (A2)
18:35, 1 - 1, Arquette C. (G), Bilecki A. (A), Ellis H. (A2)
19:58, 2 - 1, Romano L. (G), Lam T. (A), Forrest A. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
03:50, 2 - 2, Avery J. (G), Dravecky V. (A), Bartovic A. (A2)
07:23, 3 - 2, Santala L. (G), Lam T. (A), Romano L. (A2)
16:22, 4 - 2, Ellis H. (G), Forrest A. (A), Puglisi C. (A2)
18:41, 5 - 2, Romano L. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
09:15, 5 - 3, Roobroeck R. (G), Frossard E. (A),
19:46, 6 - 3, Arquette C. (G), Schneider K. (A),
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 5th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 2nd in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitchener won 4.
Kitchener has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Guelph is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Guelph is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kitchener has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 72:55 (averaging 3.6:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kitchener against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 42:23 goals (averaging 4.2:2.3 per game).