Match Info

OHL

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Progressive Auto Sales Arena (Sarnia, ON)


	Sarnia Sting		Erie Otters

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.64	3.24
	1.78	4.64	3.23	Watch
	1.7	4.5	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.76)	4.59 ↓ (4.76)	3.29 ↑ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarnia Sting
52%

Draw
20%

Erie Otters
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

19.3%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

20.1%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarnia Sting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Erie Otters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erie Otters than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Quinlan P. (G)	1. Erliden N. (G)
6. Aucoin C.	92. Agrette M.
33. Aucoin K.	73. Ambrosio L.
40. Beamish L.	17. Cabral L.
13. Capecci K.	14. Cooper T.
84. Challenger T.	7. D'Alessio M.
17. Di Iorio A.	13. Edwards K.
81. Edwards B. (A)	23. Frasca N.
71. Gaughan C.	22. Gladman A.
10. Hall C.	81. Headrick E.
26. Hawery L.	9. Hughes C.
9. Jaworski S.	34. Kamzik K.
93. Lammens B.	96. Kuzma A.
55. Manza M.	89. Lombardi U.
12. Pickell B. (A)	80. Murray J.
7. Reese J.	61. Plante L.
19. Solomon H.	6. Saari J. (A)
14. Van Volsen J.	26. Schouten J.
11. Walos E.	72. Smith C.
43. Willard C.	10. Trevino T. (C)
5. Young M. (A)
Substitutes
31. Osipenko K. (G)	60. Tegelaar N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
17:00, 1 - 0, Challenger T. (G), Aucoin C. (A), Hawery L. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
08:33, 2 - 0, Beamish L. (G), Gaughan C. (A), Hawery L. (A2)
11:24, 2 - 1, Plante L. (G), Cooper T. (A), Trevino T. (A2)
18:41, 3 - 1, Hall C. (G), Hawery L. (A), Manza M. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 2)
09:32, 3 - 2, Hughes C. (G), Trevino T. (A), D'Alessio M. (A2)
13:39, 4 - 2, Pickell B. (G),
16:12, 4 - 3, Cooper T. (G), Hughes C. (A), Agrette M. (A2)
18:49, 5 - 3, Challenger T. (G),
19:22, 6 - 3, Reese J. (G),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarnia won 2.

Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.

Erie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Sarnia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarnia won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 75:72. (average 3.8:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarnia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:31. (average 4.4:3.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarnia Sting
OHL
15.03.26	Sarnia Sting - Saginaw Spirit	3:7 ✺
13.03.26	Sarnia Sting - Windsor Spitfires	3:6 ✺
07.03.26	Owen Sound Attack - Sarnia Sting	5:4 OT ✺
06.03.26	Sarnia Sting - Flint Firebirds	1:3 ✺
04.03.26	Sarnia Sting - Kitchener Rangers	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Erie Otters
OHL
17.03.26	Windsor Spitfires - Erie Otters	5:1 ✺
14.03.26	Erie Otters - Niagara IceDogs	1:7 ✺
13.03.26	Erie Otters - Kingston Frontenacs	3:4 OT ✺
08.03.26	Erie Otters - Saginaw Spirit	5:7 ✺
07.03.26	Erie Otters - London Knights	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
09.01.26	Sarnia Sting - Erie Otters	9:1
19.12.25	Erie Otters - Sarnia Sting	6:2
22.11.25	Erie Otters - Sarnia Sting	4:2
12.03.25	Sarnia Sting - Erie Otters	5:6
01.02.25	Sarnia Sting - Erie Otters	4:1
11.01.25	Erie Otters - Sarnia Sting	3:4
09.11.24	Erie Otters - Sarnia Sting	4:0

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