The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saginaw Spirit 55.9%
Draw 18.7%
Sarnia Sting 25.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.8%
19.8%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
21.2%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saginaw Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saginaw Spirit's performance.
Sarnia Sting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saginaw Spirit that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarnia Sting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Saginaw Spirit - Sarnia Sting Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
63. Shurygin S. (G)
34. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
72. Barnes B.
6. Aucoin C. (A)
18. Bate D.
33. Aucoin K.
42. Cloutier J.
18. Campbell D.
95. Geldart G.
84. Challenger T.
5. Glavin J. (A)
23. Dunn M.
88. Hanrahan R.
41. Emerton C. (A)
4. Harper L. (A)
71. Gaughan C.
7. Khotkov G.
27. Gulbrandsen J.
12. Leenders H.
26. Hawery L.
24. Martyniuk T.
15. Herres W.
2. Meyer K.
53. Holmes P.
93. Milojevic A.
24. Katolicky S.
62. Pepoy B. (A)
93. Lammens B.
10. Savin D.
55. Manza M.
90. Schmidt S.
8. Sewell C.
17. Velliaris X.
2. Sgro A.
66. Wassilyn B.
14. Van Volsen J. (A)
71. Zhilkin D. (C)
11. Walos E.
Substitutes
30. Knowling B. (G)
31. Osipenko K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
00:12, 1 - 0, Hanrahan R. (G), Zhilkin D. (A), Harper L. (A2)
12:24, 2 - 0, Savin D. (G), Cloutier J. (A), Harper L. (A2)
14:51, 2 - 1, Van Volsen J. (G), Walos E. (A), Hawery L. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
01:47, 3 - 1, Savin D. (G), Barnes B. (A), Pepoy B. (A2)
06:58, 3 - 2, Manza M. (G), Hawery L. (A), Emerton C. (A2)
11:21, 3 - 3, Walos E. (G), Emerton C. (A), Hawery L. (A2)
19:01, 4 - 3, Harper L. (G), Martyniuk T. (A), Zhilkin D. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
13:15, 4 - 4, Gulbrandsen J. (G), Van Volsen J. (A),
19:01, 5 - 4, Harper L. (G), Pepoy B. (A),
19:25, 6 - 4, Zhilkin D. (G),
19:45, 7 - 4, Milojevic A. (G),
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 4th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 8th in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 3.
Saginaw has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Sarnia has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sarnia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Saginaw has faced a series of away games on the road.
Saginaw is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Saginaw in today's match, at odds of 1.74.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Saginaw has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 93:54 (averaging 4.7:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Saginaw against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 39:29 goals (averaging 3.9:2.9 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Sarnia Sting - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 29.39%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Shurygin S. (G) 
Barnes B. 
Aucoin C. (A) 
Gulbrandsen J. 
Katolicky S. 
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