Match Info

OHL

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Slush Puppie Place (Kingston, ON)


	Kingston Frontenacs		Windsor Spitfires

	1	X	2
	3.13	4.2	1.87
	3.25	4.26	1.84	Watch
	3.2	4.2	1.8
	3.2	4	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.08)	4.17 ↓ (4.27)	1.84 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kingston Frontenacs
28.5%

Draw
21.9%

Windsor Spitfires
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

21.5%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

21.2%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kingston Frontenacs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Windsor Spitfires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kingston Frontenacs than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Windsor Spitfires than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Minchak M. (G)	30. Newlove M. (G)
88. Battaglia J. (C)	61. Belchetz E.
6. Bishop W. (A)	5. Brown J.
22. Buttar N.	10. Costello S.
17. Clark R.	44. Cristoforo A. (A)
9. Dervin K.	78. Davis C.
77. Henderson M.	53. Dubowsky C.
47. Kelly A.	77. Garden E. (A)
41. Kulemin A.	19. Gaymes N.
96. Kuzma A.	11. Harvey C.
13. Kuzma R.	58. Hicks C.
11. McGowan M. (A)	2. Kennedy W.
25. Mondoux A.	22. Lemieux J.
4. Moore L.	80. Makysh B.
10. Pobezal T.	17. McLaughlin J.
74. Snyder N.	71. Nesbitt J.
27. Williamson V.	8. Spellacy A. (A)
36. Wright L.	28. Walton C.
	24. Woodall C.
Substitutes
43. Betts G. (G)	33. Costanzo J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
08:22, 1 - 0, Bishop W. (G), Wright L. (A), Kuzma R. (A2)
13:58, 1 - 1, Makysh B. (G), Harvey C. (A),
17:51, 2 - 1, Buttar N. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:54, 2 - 2, Cristoforo A. (G), Garden E. (A),
11:03, 3 - 2, McGowan M. (G), Kelly A. (A), Williamson V. (A2)
15:52, 4 - 2, Dervin K. (G), Buttar N. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
16:28, 4 - 3, Spellacy A. (G),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kingston won 3.

Recent form of Kingston has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Windsor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Windsor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Windsor has had a series of away games.

Windsor could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Windsor will win today's game, with odds of 1.85.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kingston won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 60:86. (average 3:4.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kingston won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:35. (average 3.4:3.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kingston Frontenacs
OHL
10.12.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Oshawa Generals	7:3 ✺
06.12.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Barrie Colts	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Flint Firebirds	2:4 ✺
03.12.25	Brantford Bulldogs - Kingston Frontenacs	4:2 ✺
30.11.25	Owen Sound Attack - Kingston Frontenacs	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL
- Windsor Spitfires
OHL
11.12.25	Peterborough Petes - Windsor Spitfires	3:6 ✺
05.12.25	London Knights - Windsor Spitfires	1:4 ✺
29.11.25	Owen Sound Attack - Windsor Spitfires	2:3 ✺
28.11.25	Guelph Storm - Windsor Spitfires	5:4 ✺
26.11.25	Windsor Spitfires - Owen Sound Attack	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
06.11.25	Windsor Spitfires - Kingston Frontenacs	3:0
06.03.25	Windsor Spitfires - Kingston Frontenacs	7:1
28.02.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Windsor Spitfires	4:2
24.11.23	Kingston Frontenacs - Windsor Spitfires	6:4
12.10.23	Windsor Spitfires - Kingston Frontenacs	4:6
26.02.23	Kingston Frontenacs - Windsor Spitfires	4:8
06.11.22	Windsor Spitfires - Kingston Frontenacs	6:3

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