Match Info

OHL

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Peterborough Memorial Centre (Peterborough, ON)


	Peterborough Petes		Windsor Spitfires

	1	X	2
	3.76	4.74	1.61
	3.90	4.89	1.60	Watch
	4.5	4.75	1.5
	4	4.5	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.21)	4.72 ↑ (4.24)	1.57 ↓ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough Petes
22.6%

Draw
19.3%

Windsor Spitfires
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

21.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

20.5%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough Petes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peterborough Petes's form might have worsened.

Windsor Spitfires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Windsor Spitfires's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough Petes than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Windsor Spitfires than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Windsor Spitfires, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Peterborough Petes - Windsor Spitfires Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Windsor (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Rye E. (G)	33. Costanzo J. (G)
20. Brooks J.	61. Belchetz E.
15. Cameron C. (C)	5. Brown J.
2. Chavez E.	10. Costello S.
91. DiCunzolo G.	44. Cristoforo A.
28. Faulkner B.	78. Davis C.
88. Gowan B.	53. Dubowsky C.
4. Hartnell C.	77. Garden E.
10. Levac A.	19. Gaymes N.
44. Lutz Y.	66. Greentree L.
3. Marentette T.	11. Harvey C.
29. McCallum B. (A)	58. Hicks C.
61. McGregor K.	2. Kennedy W.
72. Perreault M.	22. Lemieux J.
71. Petrovski J.	80. Makysh B.
5. Raynor K.	17. McLaughlin J.
92. Soto M.	71. Nesbitt J.
7. Ula G.	8. Spellacy A.
26. Young A.	28. Walton C.
	24. Woodall C.
Substitutes
34. Johnston M. (G)	30. Newlove M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
05:04, 0 - 1, Costello S. (G), Makysh B. (A), Dubowsky C. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
02:52, 0 - 2, Belchetz E. (G), Greentree L. (A), Woodall C. (A2)
10:25, 0 - 3, Cristoforo A. (G), Woodall C. (A), Belchetz E. (A2)
12:18, 0 - 4, Davis C. (G), Harvey C. (A), Spellacy A. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 2)
00:54, 1 - 4, Petrovski J. (G), Cameron C. (A),
05:18, 2 - 4, Levac A. (G), DiCunzolo G. (A),
07:16, 2 - 5, Cristoforo A. (G), Greentree L. (A), Woodall C. (A2)
07:53, 3 - 5, Perreault M. (G), Faulkner B. (A), Young A. (A2)
08:45, 3 - 6, Greentree L. (G), Nesbitt J. (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 1.

Peterborough has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Windsor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Windsor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Windsor might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 65:85. (average 3.3:4.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:42. (average 3.4:4.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Peterborough Petes - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 28.04%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough Petes
OHL
05.12.25	Kitchener Rangers - Peterborough Petes	6:3 ✺
04.12.25	Peterborough Petes - Flint Firebirds	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Niagara IceDogs - Peterborough Petes	3:6 ✺
29.11.25	Erie Otters - Peterborough Petes	5:2 ✺
27.11.25	Peterborough Petes - North Bay Battalion	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLL
- Windsor Spitfires
OHL
05.12.25	London Knights - Windsor Spitfires	1:4 ✺
29.11.25	Owen Sound Attack - Windsor Spitfires	2:3 ✺
28.11.25	Guelph Storm - Windsor Spitfires	5:4 ✺
26.11.25	Windsor Spitfires - Owen Sound Attack	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Windsor Spitfires - Guelph Storm	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
27.02.25	Peterborough Petes - Windsor Spitfires	1:7
10.11.24	Windsor Spitfires - Peterborough Petes	4:1
27.01.24	Windsor Spitfires - Peterborough Petes	8:2
23.11.23	Peterborough Petes - Windsor Spitfires	2:5
23.02.23	Peterborough Petes - Windsor Spitfires	6:2
10.11.22	Windsor Spitfires - Peterborough Petes	3:2
13.02.20	Peterborough Petes - Windsor Spitfires	3:7

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