Match Info

OHL

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Slush Puppie Place (Kingston, ON)


	Kingston Frontenacs		Flint Firebirds

	1	X	2
	2.67	4.09	2.13
	2.72	4.24	2.06
	2.5	4	2.15
	2.6	4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.42)	4.08 ↑ (4.07)	2.11 ↓ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kingston Frontenacs
34.7%

Draw
22.3%

Flint Firebirds
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

22.4%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

21.7%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kingston Frontenacs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Flint Firebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kingston Frontenacs than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (-2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Betts G. (G)	1. Vaccari M. (G)
88. Battaglia J. (C)	19. Allen D.
6. Bishop W.	22. Anderson D.
22. Buttar N.	76. Aspinall N. (C)
17. Clark R.	13. Colosimo J.
9. Dervin K.	88. Cunningham R.
77. Henderson M.	65. Fellinger R.
91. Hopkins T. (A)	14. Graziano L.
47. Kelly A.	64. Hull C.
41. Kulemin A.	20. Komadoski G.
96. Kuzma A.	47. Kostov A. (A)
13. Kuzma R.	10. Lombardi J. (A)
11. McGowan M.	68. Murata C.
25. Mondoux A.	7. Paul J.
4. Moore L.	95. Pazii I.
10. Pobezal T.	98. Podrekar U. (A)
74. Snyder N.	11. Smith B.
27. Williamson V. (A)	8. Uljanskis D.
36. Wright L.	28. Wang M.
Substitutes
76. Minchak M. (G)	55. Courville M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
02:10, 1 - 0, Hopkins T. (G), Wright L. (A), Battaglia J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:26, 1 - 1, Kostov A. (G), Uljanskis D. (A), Aspinall N. (A2)
08:13, 1 - 2, Anderson D. (G), Aspinall N. (A), Uljanskis D. (A2)
14:00, 2 - 2, Kulemin A. (G), Clark R. (A), Williamson V. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
12:04, 2 - 3, Kostov A. (G),
18:39, 2 - 4, Pazii I. (G),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kingston won 3.

Kingston has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Flint's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kingston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kingston has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Kingston won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 70:43. (average 4.4:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kingston won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 3.9:3.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Kingston Frontenacs - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.77%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Flint Firebirds - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.79%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kingston Frontenacs
OHL
03.12.25	Brantford Bulldogs - Kingston Frontenacs	4:2 ✺
30.11.25	Owen Sound Attack - Kingston Frontenacs	7:3 ✺
29.11.25	Barrie Colts - Kingston Frontenacs	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Kingston Frontenacs - North Bay Battalion	1:4 ✺
22.11.25	Peterborough Petes - Kingston Frontenacs	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Flint Firebirds
OHL
04.12.25	Peterborough Petes - Flint Firebirds	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Sarnia Sting - Flint Firebirds	3:2 penalties ✺
29.11.25	Flint Firebirds - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	3:2 ✺
26.11.25	Flint Firebirds - Saginaw Spirit	5:4 ✺
23.11.25	Owen Sound Attack - Flint Firebirds	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
07.02.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Flint Firebirds	3:1
01.02.25	Flint Firebirds - Kingston Frontenacs	4:7
09.03.24	Flint Firebirds - Kingston Frontenacs	1:0
03.12.23	Kingston Frontenacs - Flint Firebirds	4:3 OT
04.12.22	Kingston Frontenacs - Flint Firebirds	2:4
04.11.22	Flint Firebirds - Kingston Frontenacs	1:3
29.02.20	Flint Firebirds - Kingston Frontenacs	1:6

Kingston Frontenacs - Flint Firebirds: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide