Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday


	KooKoo U20		Ilves U20

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.6	1.55
	2.9	3.36	2.04
	3.07	3.64	2.06	Watch
	3.6	4.2	1.65
	2.92	4.05	1.97
	2.55	4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.63)	3.98 ↓ (4.26)	1.9 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KooKoo U20
29.3%

Draw
22.8%

Ilves U20
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

21.6%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

24.1%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KooKoo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Ilves U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilves U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KooKoo U20 than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

KooKoo U20 - Ilves U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
05:37, 1 - 0, Tossavainen R. (G), Rajala R. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
02:14, 1 - 1, Tukio O. (G), Poikela M. (A), Nippala J. (A2)
08:19, 2 - 1, Holcak T. (G), Tossavainen R. (A), Savolainen E. (A2)
16:07, 3 - 1, Holcak T. (G), Szongoth D. (A), Makela M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
14:18, 3 - 2, Frolo J. (G), Mottard P. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KooKoo U20 won 4.

KooKoo U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ilves U20 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

KooKoo U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ilves U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, KooKoo U20 won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 56:57. (average 2.9:3).

Including home matches between the teams, KooKoo U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 2.8:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Ilves U20	10	4	1	1	4	36:43	15
18	KooKoo U20	10	1	0	2	7	18:35	5

Last Results with these Odds

Ilves U20 - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 52.97%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KooKoo U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
24.01.26	KooKoo U20 - HPK U20	3:2 OT ✺
23.01.26	KooKoo U20 - Jokerit U20	1:4 ✺
17.01.26	SaiPa U20 - KooKoo U20	1:2 penalties ✺
09.01.26	Tappara U20 - KooKoo U20	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Pelicans U20 - KooKoo U20	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWL
- Ilves U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
24.01.26	Lukko U20 - Ilves U20	2:5 ✺
23.01.26	Ilves U20 - Kärpät U20	4:3 OT ✺
17.01.26	HIFK U20 - Ilves U20	2:3 OT ✺
16.01.26	Tappara U20 - Ilves U20	1:6 ✺
10.01.26	Ilves U20 - KalPa U20	7:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
28.09.25	Ilves U20 - KooKoo U20	2:0
14.02.25	KooKoo U20 - Ilves U20	6:2
18.10.24	Ilves U20 - KooKoo U20	1:3
18.11.23	Ilves U20 - KooKoo U20	0:5
03.09.22	Ilves U20 - KooKoo U20	3:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
05.08.22	Ilves U20 - KooKoo U20	3:5
Finnish SM-sarja U20
01.03.22	KooKoo U20 - Ilves U20	5:4 OT

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