Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Lukko U20		Ilves U20

	1	X	2
	3.38	3.81	1.72
	3.61	4.02	1.78	Watch
	3.6	4	1.67
	3.46	4.6	1.69
	3.75	4.5	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (4.46)	4.19 ↓ (4.56)	1.69 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukko U20
25.3%

Draw
21.5%

Ilves U20
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

20.1%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

23%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukko U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Ilves U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilves U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Lukko U20 - Ilves U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
10:34, 0 - 1, Nippala J. (Penalty Shot),
2nd Period (0 - 3)
03:26, 0 - 2, Poikela M. (G), Myllyniemi M. (A), Kuukasjarvi R. (A2)
08:02, 0 - 3, Seppanen N. (G), Melanen J. (A), Kuitunen O. (A2)
19:28, 0 - 4, Laitinen J. (G), Rinne R. (A), Poikela M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
07:24, 0 - 5, Pelkonen L. (G), Laitinen J. (A), Seppanen N. (A2)
09:12, 1 - 5, Lehtosaari V. (G), Paju A. (A), Salonen T. (A2)
09:29, 2 - 5, Pulakka V. (G), Tukiainen J. (A), Suominen J. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 4.

Lukko U20 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ilves U20 is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Ilves U20 is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Ilves U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 77:47. (average 3.9:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lukko U20 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:19. (average 3.8:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Lukko U20	11	7	1	0	3	35:25	23
10	Ilves U20	10	4	1	1	4	36:43	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukko U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
23.01.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - Lukko U20	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Lukko U20 - KalPa U20	3:4 penalties ✺
16.01.26	Lukko U20 - Pelicans U20	0:3 ✺
10.01.26	Lukko U20 - TPS U20	3:4 ✺
09.01.26	Jokerit U20 - Lukko U20	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL
- Ilves U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
23.01.26	Ilves U20 - Kärpät U20	4:3 OT ✺
17.01.26	HIFK U20 - Ilves U20	2:3 OT ✺
16.01.26	Tappara U20 - Ilves U20	1:6 ✺
10.01.26	Ilves U20 - KalPa U20	7:5 ✺
04.01.26	RoKi U20 - Ilves U20	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
14.11.25	Ilves U20 - Lukko U20	6:1
15.02.25	Ilves U20 - Lukko U20	4:7
28.11.24	Lukko U20 - Ilves U20	4:1
11.10.24	Ilves U20 - Lukko U20	0:4
15.09.24	Lukko U20 - Ilves U20	5:0
02.02.24	Lukko U20 - Ilves U20	1:2 OT
26.01.24	Ilves U20 - Lukko U20	4:5 penalties

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