Match Info

LATVIA: OPTIBET HOKEJA LIGA

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Kurbads		Zemgale LLU

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.6	1.6
	3.85	4.65	1.59	Watch
	3.64	4.59	1.62
	4.25	4.83	1.63
	3.89	4.6	1.6
	3.95	4.7	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.84)	4.66 ↑ (4.64)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kurbads
23.1%

Draw
19.6%

Zemgale LLU
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

19.7%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

16.4%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kurbads has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Zemgale LLU has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kurbads than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kurbads, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zemgale LLU than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zemgale LLU, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kurbads - Zemgale LLU Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Preview

Kurbads is Qualified for Optibet Hokeja Liga (Play Offs )

Zemgale is Qualified for Optibet Hokeja Liga (Play Offs )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kurbads won 2.

Kurbads in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Zemgale is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kurbads could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kurbads have a series of home games.

In this match Zemgale is a favorite.

Last 47 head-to-head matches Kurbads won 32 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 160-103.

Including matches at home between the teams Kurbads won 20 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 91-52.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Kurbads
Latvian Hokeja Liga
31.01.24	Kurbads - HS Rīga	3:1 ✺
28.01.24	Kurbads - Energija Elektrėnai	8:3 ✺
27.01.24	Kurbads - Energija Elektrėnai	11:2 ✺
25.01.24	Punks Vilnius - Kurbads	1:7 ✺
13.01.24	Kurbads - Mogo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW
- HK Zemgale LLU
Latvian Hokeja Liga
31.01.24	Zemgale LLU - Mogo	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	HS Rīga - Zemgale LLU	1:6 ✺
24.01.24	Zemgale LLU - Kaunas City	10:0 ✺
20.01.24	Mogo - Zemgale LLU	3:1 ✺
17.01.24	Zemgale LLU - Riga Prizma	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Hokeja Liga
22.11.23	Zemgale LLU - Kurbads	5:4
11.10.23	Zemgale LLU - Kurbads	5:4 OT
23.09.23	Kurbads - Zemgale LLU	2:1 OT
11.01.20	Kurbads - Zemgale LLU	5:4 OT
08.01.20	Zemgale LLU - Kurbads	3:1
26.10.19	Kurbads - Zemgale LLU	6:0
23.10.19	Zemgale LLU - Kurbads	2:5

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