Match Info

Optibet Hokeja Liga - Play Offs - Final

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Jelgavas ledus halle (Jelgava)


	Zemgale LLU		Mogo

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.8	2.26
	2.5	3.89	2.24
	2.51	4.08	2.25	Watch
	2.45	3.9	2.2
	2.49	3.96	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.54)	3.93 ↓ (4.14)	2.23 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zemgale LLU
36.4%

Draw
23.1%

Mogo
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

22.2%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

23.7%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zemgale LLU has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Mogo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zemgale LLU than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mogo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Zemgale LLU - Mogo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ozols A. (G)	37. Mezsargs K. (G)
98. Ansio T.	86. Ansons K.
97. Bernhards R. (A)	24. Berzins R.
10. Brants H.	79. Biskins A.
88. Gorsanovs D.	14. Fenenko N.
9. Gricinskis G. (A)	2. Jakobsons K.
7. Jirgens H.	26. Krums E.
77. Karasa A.	93. Lejnieks R.
20. Ladusans R.	29. Leonovs A.
29. Marenis R. (C)	18. Locmelis I.
15. Mendzins K. G.	87. Meija G. (C)
23. Millers G.	7. Sarkanis D.
12. Mots T.	11. Sotnieks K.
28. Ozollapa R.	44. Sprukts G.
27. Parviainen J.	55. Tovariss A.
6. Rajala A.	71. Urbanovics K.
13. Rokis K.	23. Vasiljevs R.
5. Seilis P.	57. Zaicevs V.
19. Streikiss M.	17. Zelubovskis E. (A)
16. Vitols M.	21. Zemitis J.
8. Zabusovs P.	69. Ziemins K.
Substitutes
94. Plumins P. (G)	33. Ancs H. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:09, 1 - 0, Rajala A. (G), Jirgens H. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:46, 1 - 1, Meija G. (G), Biskins A. (A), Sarkanis D. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:32, 1 - 2, Zemitis J. (G), Sprukts G. (A),

Preview

Mogo leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zemgale won 1.

In recent matches, Zemgale has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mogo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zemgale won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 38:54. (average 1.9:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Zemgale won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 2.1:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Mogo	9	8	0	1	0	50:12	17
4	Zemgale	6	3	1	0	2	23:17	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Zemgale LLU
Latvian Hokeja Liga
12.04.26	Zemgale LLU - Mogo	3:1 ✺
10.04.26	Mogo - Zemgale LLU	5:4 penalties ✺
07.04.26	Mogo - Zemgale LLU	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Zemgale LLU - Liepāja	6:0 ✺
02.04.26	Liepāja - Zemgale LLU	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLWW
- HK Mogo
Latvian Hokeja Liga
12.04.26	Zemgale LLU - Mogo	3:1 ✺
10.04.26	Mogo - Zemgale LLU	5:4 penalties ✺
07.04.26	Mogo - Zemgale LLU	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Kyiv Capitals - Mogo	2:8 ✺
01.04.26	Mogo - Kyiv Capitals	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Hokeja Liga
12.04.26	Zemgale LLU - Mogo	3:1
10.04.26	Mogo - Zemgale LLU	5:4 penalties
07.04.26	Mogo - Zemgale LLU	3:1
11.02.26	Mogo - Zemgale LLU	3:2 OT
21.01.26	Zemgale LLU - Mogo	3:4 OT
01.11.25	Mogo - Zemgale LLU	4:0
22.10.25	Zemgale LLU - Mogo	4:2

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