Match Info

EUROPE: Spengler Cup (Davos)

Date: 27 December 2024, Friday

Location: Eisstadion Davos (Davos)


	Kärpät		Fribourg-Gottéron

	1	X	2
	2.8	4.25	2.05
	2.65	4.25	2.19
	2.72	4.15	2.04
	2.85	4.41	2.06	Watch
	2.62	4	2.1
	2.77	4.05	2.07	Watch
	2.65	4.25	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.81)	4.19 ↑ (4.05)	2.1 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kärpät
33.9%

Draw
22%

Fribourg-Gottéron
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

23%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

20.9%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Fribourg-Gottéron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fribourg-Gottéron than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Kärpät - Fribourg Gottéron Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
53. Westerholm N. (G)	1. Galley L. (G)
47. Bjork M.	16. Diaz R.
25. Paaso A.	74. Borgman A.
11. Virta P.	9. Sorensen M.
87. Kovarcik M.	95. De La Rose J.
77. Turunen T. (A)	97. Marchon N.
Line 2
2. Pokka V.	18. Gunderson R.
52. Koivisto M.	7. Jecker B.
91. Gardiner R.	37. Nicolet K.
37. Melnick J.	24. Kristof M.
27. Tardif B.	88. Audette D.
Line 3
55. Ohtamaa A. (A)	27. Rathgeb Y.
97. Masin D.	77. Streule M.
26. Rueschhoff A.	28. Bertschy C. (A)
80. Korpimaki M.	92. Vey L.
8. Maenalanen S.	29. Lilja J.
Line 4
39. Juusola V.	22. Sutter D.
12. Anttila M. (C)	43. Brennan T.
22. Nikupeteri O.	86. Sprunger J. (C)
16. Heikkala V.	23. Walser S.
	71. Mottet K. (A)
Substitutes
59. Hermonen J.	39. Ruegger B. (G)
33. Karhunen T. (G)
Coaches
. Mantymaa V.	. Leuenberger L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 2)
02:10, 1 - 0, Maenalanen S. (G), Rueschhoff A. (A),
06:28, 1 - 1, Brennan T. (G), Sorensen M. (A), Marchon N. (A2)
06:35, 2 - 1, Gardiner R. (G), Masin D. (A), Melnick J. (A2)
07:17, Rueschhoff A. (2 min),
10:49, 2 - 2, Sutter D. (G), Sorensen M. (A), De La Rose J. (A2)
11:20, Lilja J. (2 min),
15:58, 3 - 2, Juusola V. (G), Gardiner R. (A), Melnick J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
06:35, 3 - 3, Nicolet K. (G), Audette D. (A), Kristof M. (A2)
13:31, 3 - 4, Jecker B. (G),
19:04, Virta P. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
01:58, Sorensen M. (5 min),
05:07, 3 - 5, De La Rose J. (G),
11:22, 4 - 5, Virta P. (G), Turunen T. (A),
18:25, 4 - 6, Lilja J. (G),

Preview

Kärpät is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fribourg-Gottéron is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kärpät could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Kärpät to win the game is with odds 2.45.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kärpat Oulu
Finnish SM-liiga
21.12.24	Kärpät - Vaasan Sport	4:0 ✺
20.12.24	Kiekko-Espoo - Kärpät	0:5 ✺
18.12.24	Kärpät - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:2 OT ✺
14.12.24	Kärpät - Lukko	5:4 ✺
13.12.24	HPK - Kärpät	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWLWW
- HC Fribourg-Gotteron
Spengler Cup
26.12.24	Fribourg-Gottéron - Pardubice	2:3 penalties ✺
Swiss National League Hockey
23.12.24	EV Zug - Fribourg-Gottéron	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - Fribourg-Gottéron	4:0 ✺
20.12.24	Fribourg-Gottéron - EHC Kloten	0:2 ✺
08.12.24	Fribourg-Gottéron - Ajoie	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLW

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