Match Info

Liiga

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 17h 9m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Oulun Energia Areena (Oulu) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	17:00	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	16:00	TV4 Play


	Kärpät		Mikkelin Jukurit

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.00	3.30
	1.91	3.90	3.30
	1.94	3.75	3.55	Watch
	1.99	3.54	3.33
	1.98	3.64	3.43	Watch
	1.95	3.45	3.25
	1.97	4.05	3.25
	1.95	3.75	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.83)	3.76 ↓ (3.78)	3.33 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kärpät
47.5%

Draw
24.7%

Mikkelin Jukurit
27.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.1%

24.7%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

26.7%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Mikkelin Jukurit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Kärpät - Mikkelin Jukurit Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Recently, Kärpät has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Kärpät is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kärpät has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 56:48 (averaging 2.8:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kärpät against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 28:19 goals (averaging 3.1:2.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Jukurit	19	8	4	1	6	47:39	33
6	Karpat	19	7	4	4	4	52:50	33

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Jukurit: 1.38%

Last Results with these Odds

Kärpät - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.07%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Mikkelin Jukurit - the odds 3.86 are the expected chance of winning is 24.21%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kärpat Oulu
Finnish SM-liiga
28.10.26	Kärpät - HPK	1:0 ✺
24.10.26	Kärpät - KalPa	1:5 ✺
23.10.26	Kärpät - KalPa	5:2 ✺
20.10.26	SaiPa - Kärpät	2:1 penalties ✺
17.10.26	Kärpät - KooKoo	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLW
- Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga
28.10.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Lukko	3:4 penalties ✺
24.10.26	Ilves - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:2 penalties ✺
23.10.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Ilves	0:3 ✺
20.10.26	Vaasan Sport - Mikkelin Jukurit	0:3 ✺
17.10.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Tappara	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
10.10.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät	2:1 AET
20.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät	5:4
20.12.25	Kärpät - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:2 penalties
12.11.25	Kärpät - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:3 penalties
10.10.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät	6:3
25.01.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät	2:3
18.12.24	Kärpät - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:2 OT

Kärpät - Mikkelin Jukurit