Match Info
LiigaDate: 1 September 2026, TuesdayLocation: Oulun Energia Areena (Oulu)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Sweden | TV4 Play |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Kärpät |
|
Ässät |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.68 |
4 |
3.8 |
|
 |
1.72 |
4.33 |
3.70 |
|
 |
1.75 |
4.55 |
3.85 |
Watch |
 |
1.79 |
4.04 |
3.75 |
|
 |
1.81 |
4.07 |
3.76 |
Watch |
 |
1.77 |
4 |
3.7 |
|
 |
1.77 |
4.4 |
3.69 |
Watch |
 |
1.78 |
4.1 |
3.65 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↓ (1.85) |
4.19 ↓ (4.3) |
3.74 ↑ (3.35) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
- The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kärpät 52.9% | Draw 22.2% | Ässät 24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Kärpät - Ässät Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
#ad
Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
41. Rubin N. (G)
| 30. Bednar J. (G)
|
21. Matinmikko A.
| 79. Nikkila P. (A)
|
26. Tichacek J.
| 61. Jurgens C.
|
73. Erholtz E. (C)
| 8. Olofsson J.
|
33. Hirvonen R.
| 10. Hillis C.
|
82. Pakkila E.
| 34. Doucet A.
|
| Line 2 |
|---|
9. Soini K.
| 37. Maatta R.
|
61. Salmela T.
| 3. Anttalainen A.
|
93. Kantner M.
| 47. Pinard S.
|
31. Koivistoinen E. (A)
| 74. Tiivola P. (C)
|
27. Ratinen S.
| 36. Bjorkqvist K.
|
| Line 3 |
|---|
43. Loponen K.
| 55. Riihinen P.
|
2. Rissanen R.
| 80. Nurmi P.
|
11. Tornqvist H.
| 18. Ylitalo O.
|
16. Okany A.
| 19. Juhola P.
|
62. Nilsson W.
| 92. Alasiurua A.
|
| Line 4 |
|---|
8. Tieksola T.
| 7. Pulli J.
|
25. Paaso A.
| 24. Aijala E.
|
59. Hermonen J.
| 26. Kim A.
|
19. Tikka T.
| 72. Ojantakanen K.
|
18. Antti-Roiko A.
| 63. Kostilainen S.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
32. Vedenpaa V. (G)
| 33. Taponen R. (G)
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Karjalainen P.
| . Pikkarainen J.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 05:34, Tikka T. (2 min),
- 05:34, Nikkila P. (2 min),
- 05:59, Jurgens C. (2 min),
- 06:40, 1 - 0, Nilsson W. (G), Kantner M. (A), Hirvonen R. (A2)
- 07:01, Rissanen R. (2 min),
- 10:06, (2 min),
- 14:55, 1 - 1, Anttalainen A. (G), Maatta R. (A),
- 15:40, Pulli J. (2 min),
- 18:03, Pulli J. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 04:07, Pinard S. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 04:24, Nurmi P. (2 min),
- 05:24, Ratinen S. (2 min),
- 08:09, Antti-Roiko A. (2 min),
- 10:36, Pinard S. (Penalty Shot),
- 11:19, 2 - 1, Ratinen S. (G), Koivistoinen E. (A),
- 12:16, 3 - 1, Tornqvist H. (G), Tichacek J. (A), Okany A. (A2)
- 13:38, Kim A. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 0.Kärpät has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).Ässät's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Ässät may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Kärpät is a strong favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 54:44. (average 2.7:2.2).Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 2.2:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
|
|
| 3 | Assat | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 30:27 | 22 |
| 4 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 35:34 | 22 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Last Results with these Odds
Ässät - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.86%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-liiga | | | 31.01.26 | Kärpät - Ässät | 0:4 | | 07.01.26 | Ässät - Kärpät | 4:3 | | 28.10.25 | Kärpät - Ässät | 2:4 | | 20.09.25 | Ässät - Kärpät | 5:2 | | 01.03.25 | Ässät - Kärpät | 3:1 | | 15.01.25 | Kärpät - Ässät | 5:2 | | 30.11.24 | Kärpät - Ässät | 1:4 |
|