The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
JYP 48.7%
Draw 23%
Kärpät 28.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.1%
24.2%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.7%
25%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-1%)
JYP - Kärpät Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Setanen O. (G)
32. Vedenpaa V. (G)
44. Vatanen S.
21. Matinmikko A.
31. Peltola E.
25. Paaso A.
77. Tukiainen L.
16. Okany A.
28. Lassila J. (C)
33. Hirvonen R.
14. Costmar A.
82. Pakkila E.
Line 2
63. Bourque T. (A)
9. Soini K.
3. Arola J.
26. Tichacek J.
39. Ojantakanen V.
93. Kantner M.
8. Newkirk R.
31. Koivistoinen E. (A)
82. Pesonen H. (A)
73. Erholtz E. (C)
Line 3
17. Makinen O.
3. Kokkonen L.
32. Setkov M.
2. Rissanen R.
92. Vidgren A.
11. Tornqvist H.
7. True A.
19. Tikka T.
40. Torgersson D.
27. Ratinen S.
Line 4
29. Raisanen E.
61. Salmela T. (A)
16. Liljamo T.
62. Nilsson W.
43. Jaatinen O.
80. Korpimaki M.
27. Korjus J.
59. Hermonen J.
Substitutes
24. Huttu E.
35. Hinno N. (G)
35. Salminen O. (G)
8. Tieksola T.
Coaches
. Matikainen P.
. Karjalainen P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
10:59, Setanen O. (2 min),
17:03, Bourque T. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 3)
01:34, 1 - 0, True A. (G), Torgersson D. (A),
04:43, 2 - 0, True A. (G), Torgersson D. (A), Arola J. (A2)
10:26, 2 - 1, Rissanen R. (G), Hirvonen R. (A), Okany A. (A2)
10:50, Bourque T. (2 min),
11:20, 2 - 2, Koivistoinen E. (G), Matinmikko A. (A), Ratinen S. (A2)
13:06, 2 - 3, Pakkila E. (G), Okany A. (A), Hirvonen R. (A2)
17:10, Torgersson D. (2 min),
17:10, Koivistoinen E. (2 min),
17:33, Rissanen R. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
01:22, 3 - 3, Peltola E. (G), Vatanen S. (A), True A. (A2)
03:36, (2 min),
05:32, 4 - 3, Tukiainen L. (G), Arola J. (A), Lassila J. (A2)
06:04, 4 - 4, Soini K. (G), Tichacek J. (A), Pakkila E. (A2)
15:06, Erholtz E. (2 min),
17:12, (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:57, 4 - 5, Koivistoinen E. (G), Tichacek J. (A), Erholtz E. (A2)
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 6th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 4.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Kärpät could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with JYP holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, JYP has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 64:84 (averaging 3.2:4.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for JYP against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 30:41 goals (averaging 3:4.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
4
Karpat
19
7
4
4
4
52:50
33
6
JYP
15
9
1
1
4
48:41
30
Last Results with these Odds
JYP - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.05%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Kärpät - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 29.73%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
Watch
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Setanen O. (G) 
Costmar A. 
Bourque T. (A) 
Tichacek J. 
Setkov M. 
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