Match Info

KHL

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		Barys Astana

	1	X	2
	2.44	3.63	2.59
	2.40	3.55	2.55
	2.59	4.23	2.35	Watch
	2.36	3.95	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.39)	3.84 ↓ (4.13)	2.49 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
38.2%

Draw
24.3%

Barys Astana
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

22.8%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

23.7%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Barys Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Lada Togliatti - Barys Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lada will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Barys will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lada (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Podskrebalin N. (G)	32. Shepard H. (G)
12. Millman M.	26. Day L.
27. Somerby D.	2. Massie J. (A)
66. Mikhailov N.	8. Bailey J.
13. Sawchuk R. (A)	14. Pilon G.
10. Chivilyov A.	11. Morelli M.
Line 2
99. Makarov N.	4. Priskie C.
28. Taimazov A.	71. Daniyar Sam. (A)
88. Setdikov N. (A)	13. Kaiyrzhan D.
14. King Ben	9. Thompson T.
18. Kugryshev D. (C)	84. Savitsky K. (C)
Line 3
64. Belousov M.	87. Beketayev A.
89. Karpov A.	3. McCoshen I.
8. Rakhimullin D.	29. Lyapunov K.
19. Zinchenko I.	12. Logvin V.
23. Chervonenko V.	70. Simonov S.
Line 4
47. Morozov Y.	7. Britikov D.
97. Dyadenkin D.	81. Muratov B.
83. Belyayev M.	17. Omirbekov A.
71. Shakirov R.	96. Asetov A.
Substitutes
1. Mishurov A. (G)	43. Shutov A. (G)
9. Umerov R.
Coaches
. Zubov P.	. Kravets M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
06:09, (2 min),
10:39, Priskie C. (2 min),
18:12, 0 - 1, Massie J. (G), Omirbekov A. (A), Muratov B. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:00, 0 - 2, Bailey J. (G), Kaiyrzhan D. (A),
13:04, Kaiyrzhan D. (2 min),
19:14, 0 - 3, Simonov S. (G), Lyapunov K. (A), Beketayev A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
00:01, Podskrebalin N. ↓, Mishurov A. ↑,
02:30, Somerby D. (2 min),
06:01, 0 - 4, McCoshen I. (G), Savitsky K. (A),
09:19, Umerov R. (2 min),
13:04, 0 - 5, Bailey J. (G),
13:50, Chivilyov A. (2 min),
13:50, Makarov N. (2 min),
15:14, 0 - 6, Thompson T. (G), Priskie C. (A),
15:24, Belyayev M. (2 min),
19:35, Rakhimullin D. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lada won 2.

Recent form of Lada has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barys's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Barys has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lada won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 57:36. (average 2.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lada won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
KHL
14.09.26	Lada Togliatti - Dinamo Minsk	4:2 ✺
11.09.26	Lada Togliatti - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	2:7 ✺
09.09.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lada Togliatti	2:1 AET ✺
07.09.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Lada Togliatti	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lada Togliatti	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLLL
- Barys Astana
KHL
12.09.26	Barys Astana - Amur Khabarovsk	1:3 ✺
09.09.26	Barys Astana - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	8:6 ✺
07.09.26	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	7:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
30.08.26	Barys Astana - Admiral Vladivostok	6:5 OT ✺
28.08.26	SKA-VMF - Barys Astana	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
20.08.26	Lada Togliatti - Barys Astana	1:2
KHL
14.02.26	Barys Astana - Lada Togliatti	5:3
20.01.26	Lada Togliatti - Barys Astana	2:0
28.02.25	Lada Togliatti - Barys Astana	2:3 penalties
15.02.25	Barys Astana - Lada Togliatti	2:4
09.01.25	Lada Togliatti - Barys Astana	1:0
05.01.25	Barys Astana - Lada Togliatti	0:5

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