Match Info

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Barys Astana		Sibir Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.29	3.01	Watch
	2.03	4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.15)	4.15 ↓ (4.29)	2.93 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barys Astana
45.1%

Draw
22.7%

Sibir Novosibirsk
32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

22.8%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Barys Astana have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Sibir Novosibirsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 7th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barys won 1.

Barys has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sibir is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sibir may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Barys holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Barys has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 43:48 (averaging 2.2:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Barys against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 33:26 goals (averaging 2.8:2.2 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Barys Astana: 0.77%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barys Astana
KHL
04.10.26	Spartak Moscow - Barys Astana	3:4 penalties ✺
02.10.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Barys Astana	4:5 OT ✺
30.09.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Barys Astana	4:1 ✺
27.09.26	Barys Astana - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:5 ✺
26.09.26	Barys Astana - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLLL
- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
07.10.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	4:5 OT ✺
04.10.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:2 ✺
02.10.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:4 ✺
30.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:1 ✺
27.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
07.09.26	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	7:1
20.03.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana	2:1 penalties
07.12.25	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2 penalties
01.12.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana	4:1
14.10.25	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:4 penalties
05.10.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Barys Astana	1:0 penalties
27.09.25	Barys Astana - Sibir Novosibirsk	6:4

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