The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ladya Togliatti 23.2%
Draw 22.6%
Stalnye Lisy 54.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
20.3%
46.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
19.5%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ladya Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ladya Togliatti's form might have worsened.
Stalnye Lisy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stalnye Lisy's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ladya Togliatti than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ladya Togliatti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stalnye Lisy than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stalnye Lisy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Ladya Togliatti - Stalnye Lisy Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ladya will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Stalnye Lisy will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
20. Murashov N. (G)
31. Rutsky M. (G)
6. Morozov A.
43. Isakov Y.
14. Lineitsev D. (C)
5. Mukhranov Y. (A)
17. Guryev V.
86. Kurichev N. (A)
75. Krikunenko A.
34. Sysoyev D. (C)
91. Saranov P.
68. Golnik R.
Line 2
95. Kharitonov G.
22. Chernev T.
5. Petrov A.
81. Rubin A.
9. Vorfolomeyev M. (A)
23. Kushnaryov A.
90. Lisenkov M. (A)
25. Serazetdinov D.
7. Pavlov M.
13. Gushchin M.
Line 3
96. Ivonin S.
98. Khvostov Z.
79. Medvedev I.
15. Poltavchuk N.
23. Ambrosov V.
44. Shcherbinin D.
67. Malkov S.
69. Malashkin M.
68. Toft M.
17. Alshevsky A.
Line 4
21. Pshenitsyn D.
73. Tyutyunik A.
24. Abramov Y.
52. Menshchikov Y.
4. Umerenkov M.
63. Vokhmyanin A.
80. Gorshkov F.
9. Yashnikov M.
Substitutes
70. Nikonovich M. (G)
91. Maier V.
97. Yegorov A.
33. Utkin A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 3)
01:06, 1 - 0, Vorfolomeyev M. (G), Pavlov M. (A),
03:37, 1 - 1, Kushnaryov A. (G), Rubin A. (A), Tyutyunik A. (A2)
04:40, 1 - 2, Kurichev N. (G), Golnik R. (A), Sysoyev D. (A2)
16:32, 1 - 3, Alshevsky A. (G), Malashkin M. (A), Shcherbinin D. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
04:26, 2 - 3, Vorfolomeyev M. (G), Pavlov M. (A),
08:01, 2 - 4, Sysoyev D. (G), Golnik R. (A), Poltavchuk N. (A2)
09:39, 3 - 4, Ambrosov V. (G), Malkov S. (A), Toft M. (A2)
12:23, 4 - 4, Ambrosov V. (G), Malkov S. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:03, 4 - 5, Vokhmyanin A. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ladya won 2.
Ladya is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Stalnye Lisy has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Stalnye Lisy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Stalnye Lisy has had a series of away games.
Stalnye Lisy will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that Ladya will win today's game, with odds of 3.36.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ladya won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 40:70. (average 2:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Ladya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:33. (average 1.8:3.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Stalnye Lisy - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.28%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.