Match Info

MHL

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Ladya Togliatti		Molot Perm

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.45	4.34	Watch
	1.57	4.25	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.57)	4.35 (4.35)	4.3 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ladya Togliatti
57.8%

Draw
20.9%

Molot Perm
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ladya Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Molot Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ladya Togliatti than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Ladya Togliatti - Molot Perm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
70. Nikonovich M. (G)	80. Yermashov F. (G)
6. Morozov A.	25. Sadykov K.
14. Lineitsev D.	5. Filippov A.
17. Guryev V.	98. Stefanov D.
13. Bazhukhin A. (A)	29. Kalashnik M.
37. Fyodorov V. (C)	87. Bashinsky M. (C)
Line 2
12. Kalimullin M.	94. Pyankov D.
5. Petrov D.	84. Bogdanov S.
9. Vorfolomeyev M. (A)	21. Bolotov A.
90. Lisenkov M.	16. Fedyayev D. (A)
7. Pavlov M.	95. Spiridonov D.
Line 3
96. Ivonin S.	97. Davydov V. (A)
88. Stashevsky N.	27. Sizov R.
91. Saranov P.	69. Stepanov A.
67. Malkov S.	11. Komarov R.
68. Toft M.	75. Skachkov Y.
Line 4
71. Merkesov Y.	13. Uzhva A.
95. Kharitonov G.	99. Smirnov D.
80. Gorshkov F.	64. Vasev A.
4. Umerenkov M.	55. Kirzhatsky K.
87. Postovoy A.	19. Makarov I.
Substitutes
20. Murashov N. (G)	33. Shapovalov F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
01:24, 1 - 0, Stashevsky N. (G), Ivonin S. (A), Malkov S. (A2)
14:46, 2 - 0, Gorshkov F. (G), Umerenkov M. (A), Morozov A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
13:55, 2 - 1, Fedyayev D. (G), Bolotov A. (A), Spiridonov D. (A2)
16:05, 3 - 1, Bazhukhin A. (G), Umerenkov M. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
08:52, 4 - 1, Malkov S. (G), Ivonin S. (A), Toft M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ladya won 3.

Ladya is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Molot has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ladya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ladya is a strong favorite.

We predict that Ladya will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ladya won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 46:49. (average 2.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ladya won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.9:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ladya Togliatti
MHL
10.01.26	Ladya Togliatti - Molot Perm	2:1 OT ✺
28.12.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Ladya Togliatti	1:2 penalties ✺
27.12.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Ladya Togliatti	2:5 ✺
24.12.25	Ladya Togliatti - Loko-76	2:3 OT ✺
23.12.25	Ladya Togliatti - Loko-76	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW
- JHC Molot Perm
MHL
10.01.26	Ladya Togliatti - Molot Perm	2:1 OT ✺
07.01.26	Stalnye Lisy - Molot Perm	3:6 ✺
05.01.26	Tolpar - Molot Perm	6:2 ✺
26.12.25	Molot Perm - Reaktor	1:3 ✺
25.12.25	Molot Perm - Reaktor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
10.01.26	Ladya Togliatti - Molot Perm	2:1 OT
14.01.25	Molot Perm - Ladya Togliatti	2:3
13.01.25	Molot Perm - Ladya Togliatti	3:2 OT
12.10.24	Ladya Togliatti - Molot Perm	1:2 OT
11.10.24	Ladya Togliatti - Molot Perm	3:0
24.02.24	Molot Perm - Ladya Togliatti	2:4
23.02.24	Molot Perm - Ladya Togliatti	4:3

Upcoming Matches