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Current Win Probability
Lausanne HC 42.5%
Draw 22.3%
Fribourg-Gottéron 35.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.1%
22.4%
41.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
23.3%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lausanne HC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lausanne HC's performance.
Fribourg-Gottéron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fribourg-Gottéron might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne HC than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lausanne HC that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fribourg-Gottéron than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fribourg-Gottéron could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lausanne HC - Fribourg Gottéron Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Pasche K. (G)
35. Waeber L. (G)
20. Fora M.
12. Nemeth P.
81. Baragano I.
33. Johnson L.
9. Riat D. (C)
22. Bertschy C. (A)
11. Suomela A.
95. De La Rose J. (A)
14. Fuchs J. (A)
43. Schild T.
Line 2
91. Heldner F.
5. Seiler S.
5. Carrick C.
77. Streule M.
28. Simic A.
9. Sorensen M.
23. Kurashev P.
21. Borgstrom H.
96. Caggiula D. (A)
39. Reber J.
Line 3
67. Vouardoux N.
27. Rathgeb Y.
13. Sansonnens B.
3. Kapla M.
89. Ruegsegger S.
37. Nicolet K.
92. Vidal T.
73. Schmid S. (A)
12. Zehnder Y.
29. Richard A.
Line 4
58. Loeffel R.
7. Jecker B.
66. Fiedler C.
45. Boppart Y.
4. Holdener M.
93. Dorthe J.
71. Bougro B.
11. Hedlund L.
19. Fust R.
Substitutes
70. Huet E. (G)
1. Galley L. (G)
Coaches
. Ward G.
. Ronnberg R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
02:22, Boppart Y. (2 min),
03:51, Fuchs J. (2 min),
09:40, Kurashev P. (2 min),
17:23, Richard A. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:32, Caggiula D. (2 min),
05:32, Seiler S. (2 min),
05:32, Kurashev P. (2 min),
05:32, Seiler S. (2 min),
05:32, Nicolet K. (2 min),
17:24, 1 - 0, Kurashev P. (G), Caggiula D. (A),
20:00, Heldner F. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:57, Richard A. (2 min),
18:24, 2 - 0, Fuchs J. (G), Suomela A. (A),
19:11, Caggiula D. (2 min),
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th in the Promotion - National League Promotion - Playoffs and 3rd in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lausanne HC won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lausanne HC has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:45 (averaging 2.8:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lausanne HC against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 25:19 goals (averaging 2.8:2.1 per game).
Switzerland
Ukraine
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Pasche K. (G) 
Nemeth P. 
Suomela A. 
Carrick C. 
Caggiula D. (A) 
Vidal T. 
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