The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Laval Rocket 42%
Draw 23.1%
Rochester Americans 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.6%
24.3%
35.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.5%
24.4%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Laval Rocket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laval Rocket than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Laval Rocket - Rochester Americans Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Kahkonen K. (G)
33. Ratzlaff S. (G)
62. Beck O.
58. Belliveau I.
22. Belzile A. (A)
73. Costantini M.
19. Blais S.
12. Fiddler-Schultz R.
5. Clurman N.
4. Geertsen M.
42. Condotta L. (C)
91. Helenius K.
27. Dauphin L.
23. Johnson R.
49. Davidson J.
39. Jones Z.
2. Del Gaizo M.
8. Joshua J.
44. Didier J.
83. Komarov V.
15. Farrell S. (A)
21. Kopff T.
48. Mesar F.
36. Laaouan N.
25. O'Rourke R.
7. Leschyshyn J.
64. Reinbacher D.
72. Meyer C. (A)
10. Roy J.
20. Nadeau O.
6. Thorpe T.
5. Rathbone J. (A)
84. Trudeau W.
19. Slaggert G.
17. Tuch L.
24. Wahlberg A.
63. Xhekaj F.
45. Warren B. (A)
Substitutes
1. Fowler J. (G)
27. Levi D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
10:21, 1 - 0, Xhekaj F. (G), Farrell S. (A), Reinbacher D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
00:59, 1 - 1, Fiddler-Schultz R. (G), Jones Z. (A), Joshua J. (A2)
09:18, 2 - 1, Blais S. (G), Belzile A. (A), Dauphin L. (A2)
11:46, 2 - 2, Nadeau O. (G), Meyer C. (A), Rathbone J. (A2)
14:17, 2 - 3, Helenius K. (G), Jones Z. (A), Wahlberg A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:17, 3 - 3, Del Gaizo M. (G), Tuch L. (A), Xhekaj F. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Blais S. (Penalty Shot),
1, Helenius K. (Penalty Shot),
2, Belzile A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Komarov V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Farrell S. (Penalty Shot),
3, Nadeau O. (Penalty Shot),
4, Roy J. (Penalty Shot),
4, Rathbone J. (Penalty Shot),
5, Davidson J. (Penalty Shot),
5, Jones Z. (Penalty Shot),
6, Xhekaj F. (Penalty Shot),
6, Wahlberg A. (Penalty Shot),
7, Beck O. (Penalty Shot),
7, Fiddler-Schultz R. (Penalty Shot),
8, Dauphin L. (Penalty Shot),
8, Meyer C. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 4.
Laval is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rochester is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Rochester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Laval won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 64:49. (average 3.2:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 2.5:2.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Laval Rocket - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.56%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.