The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Marlies 45.7%
Draw 22.2%
Rochester Americans 32%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
22.3%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
23.5%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Hildeby D. (G)
27. Levi D. (G)
58. Chadwick N.
15. Bayreuther G.
53. Cowan E.
37. Douglas C.
29. Groulx B.
12. Fiddler-Schultz R.
43. Haymes L.
4. Geertsen M.
65. Johnson R.
91. Helenius K.
57. Johnstone M. (A)
23. Johnson R.
71. Lettieri V.
39. Jones Z.
36. Mermis D. (A)
8. Joshua J.
92. Nylander A.
83. Komarov V.
56. Pare C.
7. Leschyshyn J.
61. Pezzetta M.
72. Meyer C. (A)
26. Quillan J.
57. Mrtka R.
83. Rifai M.
20. Nadeau O.
97. Sharpe C.
5. Rathbone J. (A)
11. Shaw L. (C)
17. Savage R.
3. Thrun H.
40. Valente L.
77. Tverberg R.
24. Wahlberg A.
76. Villeneuve W.
45. Warren B. (A)
Substitutes
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)
33. Ratzlaff S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
02:12, 1 - 0, Tverberg R. (G), Thrun H. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
04:47, 2 - 0, Shaw L. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Mermis D. (A2)
10:06, 2 - 1, Helenius K. (G), Mrtka R. (A),
14:30, 3 - 1, Shaw L. (G), Groulx B. (A), Cowan E. (A2)
16:23, 3 - 2, Nadeau O. (G), Wahlberg A. (A), Fiddler-Schultz R. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19', 4 - 2, (G),
Preview
Series tied 1-1. Third leg.
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2.
Toronto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Rochester's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Toronto might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Toronto will win today's game, with odds of 2.02.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 59:49. (average 3:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:20. (average 3.8:2).
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Hildeby D. (G) 
Levi D. (G) 
Bayreuther G. 
Helenius K. 
Komarov V. 
Mrtka R. 
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