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Current Win Probability
Lehigh Valley Phantoms 32.6%
Draw 22.8%
Charlotte Checkers 44.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.4%
21.5%
44.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
22.9%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lehigh Valley Phantoms has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Charlotte Checkers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lehigh Valley Phantoms than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Checkers than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Charlotte Checkers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
64. Bjarnason C. (G)
31. Black C. (G)
59. Bonk O.
2. Benning M. (A)
23. Dorwart K.
40. Bjornfot T. (A)
43. Eklind O.
5. Carrick T. (C)
56. Gaucher J.
36. Chorske B.
37. Ginning A.
4. Devine J.
9. Golder C.
28. Foote N.
3. Grans H.
17. Gregor N.
82. Guenette M.
14. Hovorka M.
5. Jiricek D.
21. Livingstone J.
61. Katchouk B.
7. Mastrosimone R.
20. Marody C.
10. McLinskey L.
19. McDonald H.
26. Pinho B.
25. Pederson L.
25. Skoog W.
90. Richard A.
15. Smith N.
22. Robertson T.
6. Steeves B.
26. Tomasino P.
23. Studnicka J.
17. Wilson G.
8. Vande Sompel M.
74. Wisdom Z.
29. Vilmanis S.
Substitutes
35. Kolosov A. (G)
70. Domingue L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 4)
01:13, 0 - 1, Vilmanis S. (G),
05:35, 0 - 2, Devine J. (G), Steeves B. (A), Bjornfot T. (A2)
10:25, 0 - 3, Smith N. (G), Livingstone J. (A), Studnicka J. (A2)
14:12, 0 - 4, Vande Sompel M. (G), Gregor N. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
09:35, 1 - 4, Ginning A. (G), Katchouk B. (A), Pederson L. (A2)
19:47, 2 - 4, Gaucher J. (G), Tomasino P. (A), Ginning A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:49, 3 - 4, Eklind O. (G),
15:40, 4 - 4, Jiricek D. (G), Pederson L. (A), Bonk O. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:54, 4 - 5, Vilmanis S. (G), Mastrosimone R. (A),
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lehigh Valley won 1.
Lehigh Valley has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Charlotte has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Lehigh Valley has had a series of home games.
Recently, Charlotte has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lehigh Valley won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 63:77. (average 3.2:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Lehigh Valley won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:39. (average 3.2:3.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Charlotte Checkers - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.1%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Bjarnason C. (G) 
Black C. (G) 
Bjornfot T. (A) 
Hovorka M. 
Vilmanis S. 
Kolosov A. (G) 
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