Match Info

Extraleague

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	Lida		Mogilev

	1	X	2
	1.70	4.25	3.60
	1.68	4.37	4.04
	1.66	4.3	4
	1.63	4.35	3.93	Watch
	1.66	4.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.83)	4.27 ↑ (4.19)	3.83 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lida
54.8%

Draw
21.4%

Mogilev
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

22%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

23.2%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Mogilev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lida than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mogilev than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mogilev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lida - Mogilev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Bratushkin I. (G)	31. Kropova D. (G)
45. Letov I. (A)	72. Zheldakov G.
53. Goncharov A.	97. Ivanov Y.
27. Toft M.	63. Valeyev A.
90. Remezov N. (C)	52. Shiafotdinov K. (A)
88. Ipatov V.	12. Popkov A.
Line 2
8. Makarevich A.	16. Prokhorenko M.
4. Zalitov Y.	4. Dubinich N.
93. Klochkov A.	88. Solomonov Y. (C)
87. Boyarchuk P.	33. Kozinov A.
77. Chubukov M.	8. Sergushkin D. (A)
Line 3
52. Kosinsky G.	68. Mozhaev S.
7. Kurganovich A.	43. Dudko Y.
61. Yakunin M.	11. Kolgotin D.
21. Parkhomchik A.	49. Malyuchenko A.
28. Kisly A. (A)	44. Yermolenko A.
Line 4
71. Rudyak I.	22. Vorobyov K.
82. Shendrik A.	28. Kireenko V.
63. Ivut M.	23. Tatarenko K.
67. Idiatullin A.	21. Silayev I.
10. Ivankovsky A.	39. Demyanyuk Y.
Substitutes
1. Kulis T. (G)	25. Stepanov S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (5 - 0)
05:27, 1 - 0, Idiatullin A. (G), Ivankovsky A. (A), Ivut M. (A2)
07:04, 2 - 0, Kisly A. (G), Remezov N. (A), Letov I. (A2)
08:39, 3 - 0, Toft M. (G), Goncharov A. (A), Letov I. (A2)
18:27, 4 - 0, Yakunin M. (G), Ivankovsky A. (A),
19:26, 5 - 0, Kisly A. (G), Chubukov M. (A), Remezov N. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
05:49, 5 - 1, Yermolenko A. (G), Zheldakov G. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lida won 4.

Lida has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Mogilev is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lida may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Lida is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Lida in today's match, at odds of 1.69.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lida has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 72:51 (averaging 3.6:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lida against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 40:18 goals (averaging 4.4:2 per game).

Outrights of Belarusian Extraleague for now

Mogilev: 1.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Lida	10	6	0	1	3	37:26	13
11	Mogilev	11	4	0	0	7	27:40	8

Last Results with these Odds

Lida - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.41%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Mogilev - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.58%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Lida
Belarusian Extraleague
04.10.26	Lida - Mogilev	6:0 ✺
29.09.26	Lokomotiv Orsha - Lida	5:4 penalties ✺
27.09.26	Lokomotiv Orsha - Lida	4:5 ✺
24.09.26	Lida - Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk	4:0 ✺
22.09.26	Lida - Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW
- HK Mogilev
Belarusian Extraleague
04.10.26	Lida - Mogilev	6:0 ✺
30.09.26	Mogilev - Vitebsk	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Mogilev - Vitebsk	4:3 ✺
23.09.26	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Mogilev	4:1 ✺
21.09.26	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Mogilev	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
04.10.26	Lida - Mogilev	6:0
30.11.25	Mogilev - Lida	2:5
28.11.25	Mogilev - Lida	3:2
13.09.25	Lida - Mogilev	4:3
11.09.25	Lida - Mogilev	5:2
07.12.24	Mogilev - Lida	2:1
05.12.24	Mogilev - Lida	1:3

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