Match Info

Date: 1 April 2021, Thursday


	Lida		Pinskiye Yastreby

	1	X	2
	1.78	4.4	3.25
	1.78	4.3	3.15
	1.85	4.52	3.2
	1.8	4.5	3.25
	1.8	4.2	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 (1.8)	4.38 ↓ (4.54)	3.23 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lida
50.8%

Draw
20.9%

Pinskiye Yastreby
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

20.5%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

15.2%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Pinskiye Yastreby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lida than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pinskiye Yastreby than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pinskiye Yastreby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lida - Pinskiye Yastreby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Recent matches Lida is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pinskiye Yastreby is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Pinskiye Yastreby have a series of home games.

Lida will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Lida won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 39-43.

Including matches at home between the teams Lida won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Lida
Belarusian Extraleague
30.03.21	Mogilev - Lida	3:2 ✺
27.03.21	Lida - Vitebsk	5:4 ✺
25.03.21	Lida - Mogilev	1:2 ✺
23.03.21	Lida - Lokomotiv Orsha	3:4 penalties ✺
20.03.21	Lokomotiv Orsha - Lida	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLLW
- Pinskiye Yastreby
Belarusian Extraleague
30.03.21	Baranovichy - Pinskiye Yastreby	1:2 penalties ✺
27.03.21	Pinskiye Yastreby - Lokomotiv Orsha	5:2 ✺
25.03.21	Pinskiye Yastreby - Vitebsk	4:3 OT ✺
23.03.21	Pinskiye Yastreby - Mogilev	4:1 ✺
20.03.21	Pinskiye Yastreby - Belarus U18	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
08.03.21	Pinskiye Yastreby - Lida	5:1
03.02.21	Pinskiye Yastreby - Lida	4:5
17.01.21	Pinskiye Yastreby - Lida	4:1
04.01.21	Lida - Pinskiye Yastreby	3:1
02.12.20	Pinskiye Yastreby - Lida	2:1
18.11.20	Lida - Pinskiye Yastreby	4:2
15.10.20	Pinskiye Yastreby - Lida	6:4

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