Match Info

Extraleague

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday


	Lida		Lokomotiv Orsha

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.49	3.68
	1.77	4.1	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.8)	4.3 ↑ (4.23)	3.63 (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lida
52.9%

Draw
21.6%

Lokomotiv Orsha
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

22.1%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

20.8%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Lokomotiv Orsha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lida than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Orsha than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Lida - Lokomotiv Orsha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
66. Tyalo I. (G)	35. Shpilev A. (G)
79. Soldatov R.	24. Savelyev A.
71. Yershov V.	55. Burovtsev D.
97. Shumsky I.	8. Buiko V.
90. Remezov N.	29. Bylina G.
95. Kunishnikov M.	28. Sapelnikov Y.
Line 2
8. Makarevich A.	21. Tolopilo M.
47. Yukhnevich I.	71. Buivan S.
19. Onufriyuk V.	18. Paranin I.
87. Boyarchuk P.	96. Ignatov K.
12. Gerasimov S.	63. Voronov Y.
Line 3
68. Kurganovich A.	73. Yerokho V.
18. Nikitin M.	15. Garapuchik A.
17. Karpov M.	19. Belyayev K.
21. Parkhomchik A.	9. Kashkar V.
77. Chubukov M.	16. Borozna T.
Line 4
13. Shilin M. I.	7. Petrov I.
61. Yakunin M.	85. Pereguda A.
84. Muromtsev A.	23. Klyukvin K.
14. Sinelnikov N.	10. Stakhov S.
Substitutes
88. Akulov S.	31. Karachun V. (G)
1. Kulis T. (G)	13. Silchenko I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
01:37, 1 - 0, Karpov M. (G), Parkhomchik A. (A),
08:49, 2 - 0, Karpov M. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
07:56, 3 - 0, Gerasimov S. (G), Onufriyuk V. (A),
10:29, 4 - 0, Shumsky I. (G), Kunishnikov M. (A), Remezov N. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lida won 2.

Lida is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lokomotiv Orsha's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lokomotiv Orsha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lida has had a series of home games.

Lida could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Lida will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lida won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 47:64. (average 2.4:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lida won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:43. (average 2.6:3.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Lida
Belarusian Extraleague
06.10.25	Lida - Lokomotiv Orsha	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Lida - Slavutych Smolensk	3:2 penalties ✺
30.09.25	Lida - Slavutych Smolensk	4:2 ✺
26.09.25	Lida - Yunost Minsk	1:3 ✺
24.09.25	Lida - Yunost Minsk	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWWLW
- Lokomotiv Orsha
Belarusian Extraleague
06.10.25	Lida - Lokomotiv Orsha	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Baranovichy - Lokomotiv Orsha	7:2 ✺
30.09.25	Baranovichy - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:0 ✺
25.09.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Mogilev	3:2 ✺
23.09.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Mogilev	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
06.10.25	Lida - Lokomotiv Orsha	2:0
02.12.24	Lida - Lokomotiv Orsha	6:4
30.11.24	Lida - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:7
10.09.24	Lokomotiv Orsha - Lida	1:0
08.09.24	Lokomotiv Orsha - Lida	1:0 penalties
02.02.24	Lida - Lokomotiv Orsha	5:2
08.01.24	Lida - Lokomotiv Orsha	2:3

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