Match Info

SHL

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Saab Arena (Linköping)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Linköping		Rögle

	1	X	2
	3	4.3	2.11
	3.05	3.98	2.11	Watch
	3.1	3.54	2.08
	3.17	3.72	2.09	Watch
	2.9	3.75	2.05
	3.14	4.05	2.01	Watch
	3	3.85	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.44)	3.88 ↓ (3.98)	2.08 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linköping
30.7%

Draw
24.1%

Rögle
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

23.5%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

25%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Linköping's form might have worsened.

Rögle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rögle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linköping than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Linköping, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Linköping - Rögle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Myrenberg J. (G)	75. Holm A. (G)
48. Kokkonen M.	95. Friedman M.
2. Rissanen R.	16. Ekestahl-Jonsson L.
19. Larsson L.	52. Nilsson F.
61. Ljungh M. (A)	22. Olofsson F.
21. Ehn C. (C)	62. Horky L.
Line 2
5. Fantenberg O. (A)	58. Johansson F.
26. Martin M.	44. de Haan C.
13. Vrana J.	67. Bristedt L. (A)
73. Shore N.	23. Dickinson J.
38. Sodergran J.	83. Kuhlman K.
Line 3
40. Bernhardt D.	6. LaDue P.
9. Noren E.	51. Sjalin C.
23. Kovacs R.	72. Zaar D.
71. Bakke Olsen E.	28. Bengtsson A. (C)
70. Karlstrom F.	18. Everberg D. (A)
Line 4
8. Myrenberg J.	45. Biber G.
14. Krantz L.	37. Sundsvik A.
20. Johnsson J.	27. Sjodin L.
92. Nybeck Z.	8. Sandin L.
Substitutes
53. Hofbauer A.	65. Rifalk C. (G)
36. Ignatjew W. (G)	32. Solberg I.
Coaches
. Hakanson M.	. Tangnes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
07:08, 1 - 0, Bernhardt D. (G), Ehn C. (A), Ljungh M. (A2)
07:31, Zaar D. (2 min),
10:22, 2 - 0, Bakke Olsen E. (G), Kovacs R. (A), Karlstrom F. (A2)
11:56, Krantz L. (2 min),
14:25, Ekestahl-Jonsson L. (2 min),
19:26, 2 - 1, Olofsson F. (G), Johansson F. (A), Nilsson F. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
07:52, 2 - 2, Sandin L. (G), Nilsson F. (A), de Haan C. (A2)
15:03, 2 - 3, LaDue P. (G), Sjalin C. (A), Zaar D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
15:54, Johansson F. (2 min),
18:25, 3 - 3, Fantenberg O. (G), Kovacs R. (A), Ljungh M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Sandin L. (Penalty Shot),
1, Shore N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Solberg I. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kovacs R. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kuhlman K. (Penalty Shot),
3, Vrana J. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Linköping won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Rögle has had a series of home games.

Rögle could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Linköping won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 48:55. (average 2.4:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Linköping won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 2.4:2.7).

Outrights of SHL for now

Rogle: 10.28% Linkoping: 1.98%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Rogle	7	3	1	0	3	18:15	11
11	Linkoping	6	2	0	1	3	11:18	7

Last Results with these Odds

Linköping - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.27%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Rögle - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.27%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linkopings HC
SHL
19.02.26	Linköping - Färjestad	2:4 ✺
07.02.26	Djurgården - Linköping	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Timrå - Linköping	2:4 ✺
31.01.26	Frölunda - Linköping	3:4 ✺
24.01.26	Linköping - Luleå	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LLWWL
- Rögle BK
SHL
19.02.26	Rögle - HV71	3:4 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Rögle - Växjö Lakers	3:4 OT ✺
05.02.26	Malmö Redhawks - Rögle	1:4 ✺
31.01.26	Rögle - Timrå	3:1 ✺
29.01.26	Rögle - Djurgården	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

SHL
15.01.26	Linköping - Rögle	0:4
06.12.25	Rögle - Linköping	1:3
25.09.25	Rögle - Linköping	0:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.25	Rögle - Linköping	5:1
SHL
08.03.25	Linköping - Rögle	3:2 OT
01.02.25	Rögle - Linköping	2:1
19.12.24	Linköping - Rögle	2:4

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