Match Info

MHL - Play Offs - Final

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Lokomotiv Training Arena (Yaroslavl)


	Loko		MHC Spartak

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.47	4.4
	1.62	4.55	4.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.63)	4.51 ↓ (4.55)	4.42 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loko
58%

Draw
20.8%

MHC Spartak
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

20.7%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

21.4%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

MHC Spartak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loko than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MHC Spartak than the current prediction. (+1%)

Loko - MHC Spartak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Safonov S. (G)	52. Frolov S. (G)
52. Chaly G. (A)	57. Ukhmylov V.
71. Shokhrin R.	32. Bondar V.
17. Kotkov M.	96. Perelygin G.
7. Yemelyanov K.	13. Bykov A.
14. Pustovoy A.	28. Rakcheyev N.
Line 2
39. Zilev L. (C)	49. Dronov N.
48. Starkov V.	53. Tyurin N.
21. Dudorov V. (A)	81. Kochurov D.
79. Elblaus A.	38. Kotlyarov I.
80. Yelezov A.	17. Kozhushko S.
Line 3
22. Andriyanov Y.	34. Belyakov Y.
57. Shapkin A.	93. Matveyev V.
95. Meshkov S.	54. Rybenok S. (A)
74. Luttsev R.	10. Yakunin Y.
35. Shlyukov A.	95. Sysoyev D. (A)
Line 4
2. Silayev Y.	22. Malkov A.
44. Lebedev B.	19. Plesovskikh A.
15. Sokol L.	80. Gavrilov I. (C)
96. Kuznetsov V.	16. Filimonov M.
16. Maslenitsyn M.
Substitutes
94. Nikulshin N. (G)	50. Ivanov Y. (G)
	15. Seldemirov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
14:34, 0 - 1, Kozhushko S. (G), Matveyev V. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
04:34, 1 - 1, Kotkov M. (G), Yemelyanov K. (A), Pustovoy A. (A2)
08:05, 2 - 1, Dudorov V. (G), Zilev L. (A), Yelezov A. (A2)
11:19, 2 - 2, Sysoyev D. (G), Gavrilov I. (A), Tyurin N. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
05:07, 3 - 2, Luttsev R. (G), Chaly G. (A), Shokhrin R. (A2)

Preview

Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loko won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Loko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Loko is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Loko won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 69:52. (average 3.5:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Loko won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 3.5:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Loko - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 57.79%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Loko Yaroslavl
MHL
20.05.26	MHC Spartak - Loko	2:3 OT ✺
18.05.26	MHC Spartak - Loko	4:1 ✺
16.05.26	Loko - MHC Spartak	1:3 ✺
14.05.26	Loko - MHC Spartak	3:2 ✺
05.05.26	Chaika - Loko	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW
- MHC Spartak
MHL
20.05.26	MHC Spartak - Loko	2:3 OT ✺
18.05.26	MHC Spartak - Loko	4:1 ✺
16.05.26	Loko - MHC Spartak	1:3 ✺
14.05.26	Loko - MHC Spartak	3:2 ✺
10.05.26	MHC Spartak - Avto	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
20.05.26	MHC Spartak - Loko	2:3 OT
18.05.26	MHC Spartak - Loko	4:1
16.05.26	Loko - MHC Spartak	1:3
14.05.26	Loko - MHC Spartak	3:2
13.02.26	Loko - MHC Spartak	3:6
12.02.26	Loko - MHC Spartak	3:2
11.11.25	MHC Spartak - Loko	0:3

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