Match Info

Extraleague

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lokomotiv Orsha		Baranovichy

	1	X	2
	1.78	4.01	3.55
	1.69	4.15	3.79	Watch
	1.66	4.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.66)	4.14 ↓ (5.08)	3.61 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Orsha
53%

Draw
21.9%

Baranovichy
25.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.7%

17.8%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

16.9%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Orsha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Baranovichy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Orsha than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baranovichy than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Lokomotiv Orsha - Baranovichy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Shpilev A. (G)	30. Chayka T. (G)
71. Buivan S.	27. Sirotin N.
73. Yerokho V.	24. Kozich A.
79. Buinitsky A.	73. Krylovich I.
13. Silchenko I.	26. Loy D.
37. Nikulin V.	10. Gapeyev D.
Line 2
55. Burovtsev D.	22. Yaruta K.
7. Petrov I.	45. Usovich Y.
32. Nozdrachev Y.	81. Khanas S.
9. Kashkar V.	33. Yaruta M.
16. Borozna T.	18. Crane T.
Line 3
24. Savelyev A.	46. Isaev A.
4. Rogach D.	23. Vorono P.
17. Apanasevich V.	94. Anishchenko V.
92. Matyushenko M.	13. Ostrovsky O.
91. Rychkov I.	44. Korobov Y.
Line 4
44. Gavrilovich T.
97. Yevtushenko A.
63. Voronov Y.
29. Bylina G.
96. Ignatov K.
Substitutes
31. Karachun V. (G)	92. Lushchik I. (G)
	85. Shapurko S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
06:48, 1 - 0, Rychkov I. (G), Kashkar V. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
04:23, 1 - 1, Sirotin N. (G), Yaruta M. (A), Crane T. (A2)
07:22, 2 - 1, Buinitsky A. (G), Savelyev A. (A),
15:50, 3 - 1, Ignatov K. (G),
19:46, 4 - 1, Petrov I. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Orsha won 3.

Lokomotiv Orsha is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Baranovichy is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Lokomotiv Orsha is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Orsha won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 71:31. (average 3.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Orsha won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:12. (average 3.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Orsha
Belarusian Extraleague
04.12.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Baranovichy	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	8:2 ✺
28.11.25	Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:3 OT ✺
25.11.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Brest	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Brest	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLL
- HK Baranavichy
Belarusian Extraleague
04.12.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Baranovichy	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Yunost Minsk - Baranovichy	6:2 ✺
28.11.25	Yunost Minsk - Baranovichy	4:1 ✺
24.11.25	Baranovichy - Mogilev	2:3 penalties ✺
22.11.25	Baranovichy - Mogilev	5:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
04.12.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Baranovichy	2:0
02.10.25	Baranovichy - Lokomotiv Orsha	7:2
30.09.25	Baranovichy - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:0
19.12.24	Baranovichy - Lokomotiv Orsha	1:2 penalties
17.12.24	Baranovichy - Lokomotiv Orsha	0:6
20.11.24	Lokomotiv Orsha - Baranovichy	2:1 OT
18.11.24	Lokomotiv Orsha - Baranovichy	2:1

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