The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SCL Tigers 37.2%
Draw 22.3%
Lugano 40.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40%
22.8%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
25.1%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SCL Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SCL Tigers than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
SCL Tigers - Lugano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
39. Boltshauser L. (G)
37. Van Pottelberghe J. (G)
24. Meier N.
60. Thomson L.
50. Riikola J. (A)
25. Muller M.
88. Bachofner J.
17. Fazzini L. (A)
11. Bjorninen H. (A)
21. Sanford Z.
8. Maenalanen S.
14. Canonica L.
Line 2
6. Lehmann N.
26. Aebischer D.
27. Kinnunen S.
63. Dahlstrom C.
28. Allenspach D.
10. Bertaggia A.
14. Pettersson E.
97. Thurkauf C. (C)
54. Dahlen J.
12. Innala J.
Line 3
42. Baltisberger P.
22. Alatalo S. (A)
4. Meier G.
52. Peltonen J.
71. Schmutz J.
91. Olsson D.
40. Schmutz F. (C)
73. Shore N.
25. Eggenberger N.
15. Lycksell O.
Line 4
15. Mathys T.
5. Guebey E.
94. Petrini P.
11. Zanetti M.
22. Salzgeber J.
7. Tanner R.
64. Wagner M.
13. Peltonen A.
Substitutes
13. Lapinskis O.
23. Morini G.
91. Meyer R. (G)
34. Schlegel N. (G)
Coaches
. Paterlini T.
. Mitell T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
04:15, 0 - 1, Bertaggia A. (G), Alatalo S. (A), Thurkauf C. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:21, Petrini P. (2 min),
02:53, 0 - 2, Innala J. (G), Alatalo S. (A), Shore N. (A2)
06:58, Sanford Z. (2 min),
10:12, Thomson L. (2 min),
10:27, Shore N. (2 min),
16:03, Olsson D. (2 min),
3rd Period (4 - 1)
01:27, 0 - 3, Lycksell O. (G), Alatalo S. (A), Peltonen J. (A2)
03:28, 1 - 3, Riikola J. (G), Kinnunen S. (A), Pettersson E. (A2)
04:08, 2 - 3, Eggenberger N. (G), Lehmann N. (A), Schmutz F. (A2)
07:06, Baltisberger P. (2 min),
09:58, 3 - 3, Schmutz J. (G), Allenspach D. (A), Schmutz F. (A2)
16:42, 4 - 3, Dahlen J. (G), Pettersson E. (A), Riikola J. (A2)
17:05, Thomson L. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SCL Tigers won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
SCL Tigers may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Lugano is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, SCL Tigers has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 63:70 (averaging 3.2:3.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for SCL Tigers against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 32:42 goals (averaging 2.9:3.8 per game).