The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lukko U20 46%
Draw 22.1%
Kärpät U20 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
23.1%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
24.3%
35.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lukko U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Kärpät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Lukko U20 - Kärpät U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko U20 won 4.
Lukko U20 has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Kärpät U20 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Lukko U20 has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Kärpät U20 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lukko U20 has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:53 (averaging 2.4:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lukko U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 13:22 goals (averaging 2.2:3.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Lukko U20
11
7
1
0
3
35:25
23
7
Karpat U20
12
5
3
0
4
40:35
21
Last Results with these Odds
Kärpät U20 - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.71%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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