Match Info

NMHL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	MHK Ryazan		Metallurg Cherepovets

	1	X	2
	2.11	4.05	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.31)	4.05 ↑ (3.92)	2.66 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

MHK Ryazan
43.2%

Draw
22.5%

Metallurg Cherepovets
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

23%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

25%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MHK Ryazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Metallurg Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MHK Ryazan than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

MHK Ryazan - Metallurg Cherepovets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

MHK Ryazan is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

M Cherepovets is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MHK Ryazan won 4.

In recent matches, MHK Ryazan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

M Cherepovets is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, MHK Ryazan won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 49:36. (average 3.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, MHK Ryazan won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:21. (average 4.3:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Cherepovets - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.92%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHK Ryazan
RHL
25.04.26	MHK Ryazan - Metallurg Cherepovets	3:4 OT ✺
16.04.26	Kristall Saratov - MHK Ryazan	4:3 penalties ✺
12.04.26	MHK Ryazan - Kristall Saratov	4:3 penalties ✺
11.04.26	MHK Ryazan - Kristall Saratov	4:3 penalties ✺
01.04.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - MHK Ryazan	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWWL
- Metallurg Cherepovets
RHL
25.04.26	MHK Ryazan - Metallurg Cherepovets	3:4 OT ✺
15.04.26	Metallurg Cherepovets - Buran Moscow	2:3 OT ✺
12.04.26	Buran Moscow - Metallurg Cherepovets	2:3 OT ✺
11.04.26	Buran Moscow - Metallurg Cherepovets	2:3 OT ✺
01.04.26	Metallurg Cherepovets - Dinamo-576	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
25.04.26	MHK Ryazan - Metallurg Cherepovets	3:4 OT
19.01.23	Metallurg Cherepovets - MHK Ryazan	0:3
18.01.23	Metallurg Cherepovets - MHK Ryazan	3:7
17.11.22	MHK Ryazan - Metallurg Cherepovets	5:0
16.11.22	MHK Ryazan - Metallurg Cherepovets	5:4 penalties
21.02.22	Metallurg Cherepovets - MHK Ryazan	3:2 OT
20.02.22	Metallurg Cherepovets - MHK Ryazan	3:2 OT

MHK Ryazan - Metallurg Cherepovets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide