Match Info

NCAA - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Maine Black Bears		Penn State Nittany Lions

	1	X	2
	1.91	4	3
	1.89	4.05	3.05
	1.86	4.56	3.08	Watch
	1.94	4.2	3.11	Watch
	1.89	4.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.95)	4.17 ↑ (4)	3.06 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maine Black Bears
48.2%

Draw
21.9%

Penn State Nittany Lions
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

22.6%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

22.2%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maine Black Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Penn State Nittany Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maine Black Bears than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penn State Nittany Lions than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Maine Black Bears - Penn State Nittany Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 3)
04:08, 1 - 0, Nobes B. (G),
05:04, 1 - 1, Wiebusch J. (G), Cerrato C. (A), Fink A. (A2)
14:26, 1 - 2, DiMarsico M. (G), Wiebusch J. (A), Cerrato C. (A2)
18:08, 1 - 3, Dowiak D. (G), Dzhaniyev D. (A), Mack S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:41, 1 - 4, DiMarsico M. (G), Cerrato C. (A), Mack S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
16:37, 1 - 5, Dowiak D. (G),

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Penn State could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Maine will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Maine Black Bears - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 46.3%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maine Black Bears hockey
NCAA Hockey
21.03.25	Maine Black Bears - Connecticut Huskies	5:2 ✺
20.03.25	Maine Black Bears - Northeastern Huskies	4:3 OT ✺
08.03.25	Massachusetts Minutemen - Maine Black Bears	2:3 penalties ✺
07.03.25	Massachusetts Minutemen - Maine Black Bears	5:1 ✺
28.02.25	Maine Black Bears - Vermont Catamounts	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLW
- Penn State Nittany Lions hockey
NCAA Hockey
08.03.25	Michigan Wolverines - Penn State Nittany Lions	2:5 ✺
07.03.25	Michigan Wolverines - Penn State Nittany Lions	5:6 OT ✺
01.03.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Minnesota Golden Gophers	3:5 ✺
28.02.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Minnesota Golden Gophers	4:3 OT ✺
22.02.25	Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.9 WWLWW

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