Match Info

NCAA

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Penn State Nittany Lions		Minnesota Golden Gophers

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.6	3.45
	1.74	5.25	3.29
	1.7	4.2	3.5
	1.68	4.5	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.71)	4.64 ↑ (4.2)	3.45 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penn State Nittany Lions
53.8%

Draw
19.7%

Minnesota Golden Gophers
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

21.5%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

23.1%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penn State Nittany Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Minnesota Golden Gophers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penn State Nittany Lions than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Golden Gophers than the current prediction. (+1%)

Penn State Nittany Lions - Minnesota Golden Gophers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
3rd Period (2 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penn State won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Penn State is considered a favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Penn State won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 39:54. (average 2.2:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Penn State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 3.3:3.4).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Minnesota Golden Gophers: 2.32% Penn State Nittany Lions: 2.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penn State Nittany Lions hockey
NCAA Hockey
06.03.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Wisconsin Badgers	2:5 ✺
05.03.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Wisconsin Badgers	3:7 ✺
28.02.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions	4:3 OT ✺
27.02.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Penn State Nittany Lions	3:4 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Ohio State Buckeyes	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWW
- Minnesota Golden Gophers hockey
NCAA Hockey
06.03.26	Minnesota Golden Gophers - Michigan State Spartans	4:3 penalties ✺
05.03.26	Minnesota Golden Gophers - Michigan State Spartans	1:7 ✺
27.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - Minnesota Golden Gophers	4:2 ✺
26.02.26	Michigan Wolverines - Minnesota Golden Gophers	2:4 ✺
14.02.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Minnesota Golden Gophers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
10.01.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Minnesota Golden Gophers	5:2
09.01.26	Penn State Nittany Lions - Minnesota Golden Gophers	3:0
22.11.25	Minnesota Golden Gophers - Penn State Nittany Lions	1:2
21.11.25	Minnesota Golden Gophers - Penn State Nittany Lions	3:2
01.03.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Minnesota Golden Gophers	3:5
28.02.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Minnesota Golden Gophers	4:3 OT
02.11.24	Minnesota Golden Gophers - Penn State Nittany Lions	1:0

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