Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Metallurg Cherepovets		Dizelist Penza

	1	X	2
	2.4	4.5	2.15
	2.68	4.2	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.75)	4.35 ↑ (4.2)	2.1 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Cherepovets
35.8%

Draw
20.9%

Dizelist Penza
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

21.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

15.9%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Dizelist Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metallurg Cherepovets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizelist Penza than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dizelist Penza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Metallurg Cherepovets - Dizelist Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Metallurg Maisky could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Metallurg Maisky have a series of guest games.

Recently Dizelist have a series of home games.

Dizelist will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Metallurg Maisky won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Metallurg Maisky won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Cherepovets
RHL
15.10.21	Metallurg Cherepovets - Dizelist Penza	2:0 ✺
11.10.21	MHK Ryazan - Metallurg Cherepovets	5:4 OT ✺
10.10.21	MHK Ryazan - Metallurg Cherepovets	4:5 OT ✺
07.10.21	Lipetsk - Metallurg Cherepovets	4:1 ✺
06.10.21	Lipetsk - Metallurg Cherepovets	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WLWLL
- Dizelist Penza
RHL
15.10.21	Metallurg Cherepovets - Dizelist Penza	2:0 ✺
07.10.21	Dizelist Penza - Kristall Berdsk	4:2 ✺
06.10.21	Dizelist Penza - Kristall Berdsk	6:2 ✺
28.09.21	Dizelist Penza - MHK Ryazan	1:2 penalties ✺
27.09.21	Dizelist Penza - MHK Ryazan	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
15.10.21	Metallurg Cherepovets - Dizelist Penza	2:0
24.01.21	Dizelist Penza - Metallurg Cherepovets	3:2 OT
20.10.20	Metallurg Cherepovets - Dizelist Penza	0:5
23.01.20	Dizelist Penza - Metallurg Cherepovets	1:0
22.01.20	Dizelist Penza - Metallurg Cherepovets	5:0
12.11.19	Metallurg Cherepovets - Dizelist Penza	6:3
11.11.19	Metallurg Cherepovets - Dizelist Penza	5:2

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