Match Info

VHL

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Kuznetsk Metallurgists (Novokuznetsk)


	Metallurg Novokuznetsk		Bars Kazan

	1	X	2
	1.54	4.2	4.75
	1.5	4.8	5.2	Watch
	1.57	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.66)	4.5 ↑ (4.35)	4.98 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
60.6%

Draw
20.7%

Bars Kazan
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

21.5%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

21.1%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Bars Kazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Podskrebalin N. (G)	80. Chibizov A. (G)
47. Churkin V.	75. Ivanov A.
51. Mineyev M.	39. Almetkin V. (A)
17. Sokolov D. (A)	17. Gizatullin D.
40. Apalkov D. (C)	9. Alshevsky S. (A)
59. Perevalov A.	41. Klimkin I.
Line 2
53. Shchemerov A.	22. Bardin I.
8. Naumov V. (A)	60. Lisov N.
88. Shalagin M.	10. Galeyev I.
89. Guslistov N.	98. Saberzyanov M.
18. Serdyuk Y.	93. Barsukov I.
Line 3
75. Starikov L.	53. Makhmutov A.
77. Vinogradov A.	26. Taimazov A.
97. Ovchinnikov D.	96. Nazmutdinov A.
24. Khrapov F.	28. Golubev D.
10. Sheshin D.	55. Sherstnyov D. (C)
Line 4
9. Belov D.	5. Mubaraksins A.
33. Shablovsky Z.	71. Samigullin R.
50. Kurbatov V.	32. Vasilkov A.
87. Gerasimov S.	72. Mekhovov I.
	23. Zinovyev D.
Substitutes
94. Bogdanov N. (G)	40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)
14. Mikhalyov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
01:25, 1 - 0, Perevalov A. (G), Apalkov D. (A),
08:39, 2 - 0, Shchemerov A. (G), Starikov L. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:25, 2 - 1, Gizatullin D. (G), Almetkin V. (A), Klimkin I. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
07:45, 3 - 1, Perevalov A. (G),
14:04, 3 - 2, Nazmutdinov A. (G), Golubev D. (A), Taimazov A. (A2)
17:51, 4 - 2, Starikov L. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 3.

Metallurg N is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bars has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bars may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Metallurg N is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Metallurg N will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 58:47. (average 3.4:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 3.7:2.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.35%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Bars Kazan - the odds 4.23 are the expected chance of winning is 22.14%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
26.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - CSK VVS Samara	3:0 ✺
24.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelny	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	6:5 penalties ✺
15.11.25	AKM - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 ✺
13.11.25	Ryazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL
- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
26.11.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Bars Kazan	5:1 ✺
23.11.25	Norilsk - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
17.11.25	Bars Kazan - SKA-VMF	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	Bars Kazan - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:4 penalties ✺
04.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Bars Kazan	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
25.12.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Bars Kazan	2:5
27.11.24	Bars Kazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	5:6 penalties
15.12.23	Bars Kazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 penalties
28.10.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Bars Kazan	3:2
15.02.23	Bars Kazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:2 penalties
13.09.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Bars Kazan	4:3 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
20.08.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Bars Kazan	11:3

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