Match Info

VHL

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Dvorets Sporta Arktika (Norilsk)


	Norilsk		Dinamo St. Petersburg

	1	X	2
	3.44	3.71	1.89
	3.44	4.05	1.89	Watch
	3.4	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (3)	3.84 ↑ (3.79)	1.93 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norilsk
27.2%

Draw
24.3%

Dinamo St. Petersburg
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

24.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

24.3%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Dinamo St. Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Norilsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Norilsk will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Dinamo SP will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo SP (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Nikitin V. (G)	22. Velmakin Y. (G)
28. Makeyev N.	79. Tikhonov M.
51. Popov O.	26. Salakhov M.
71. Golodnyuk S.	47. Grebenshchikov S.
89. Gorbunov D. (A)	78. Nechayev A.
63. Yemets I.	94. Pukhov N. (C)
Line 2
72. Korchemkin D.	7. Kozlovsky Y. (A)
44. Kovalev I.	67. Sarayev V. (A)
93. Korenev I.	96. Zinchenko I.
11. Shevchenko V. (A)	93. Zugan D.
69. Skorikov D.	23. Kotkov V.
Line 3
64. Minayev Y.	14. Nurgaliyev E.
21. Kolomiytsev I.	38. Baklashev N.
56. Mokin N. (C)	72. Prokhorov D.
74. Lapshin I.	42. Zhukenov D.
19. Aksenov A.	31. Mikhailov V.
Line 4
79. Chebykin Y.	18. Khuzin R.
91. Lazarev A.	97. Ugolnikov I.
58. Yadykin Y.	9. Davydov D.
97. Leontyev A.	10. Nazarevich A.
Substitutes
83. Sharpanov V. (G)	21. Platunov A. (G)
	11. Yezhov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
07:54, 1 - 0, Skorikov D. (G), Golodnyuk S. (A), Popov O. (A2)
15:21, 1 - 1, Grebenshchikov S. (G), Khuzin R. (A), Nurgaliyev E. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
16:09, 1 - 2, Nazarevich A. (G), Tikhonov M. (A), Grebenshchikov S. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
12:02, 1 - 3, Prokhorov D. (G),
16:23, 2 - 3, Gorbunov D. (G), Korenev I. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 0.

Norilsk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dinamo SP is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dinamo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dinamo SP has had a series of home games.

Dinamo SP is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Dinamo SP will win today's game, with odds of 2.11.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 2.1:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:11. (average 4:5.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Norilsk - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.03%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Dinamo St. Petersburg - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.39%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Norilsk
VHL
05.12.25	Norilsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	3:2 penalties ✺
30.11.25	SKA-VMF - Norilsk	4:0 ✺
28.11.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Norilsk	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Norilsk - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
21.11.25	Norilsk - CSK VVS Samara	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLL
- HC Dinamo St. Petersburg
VHL
04.12.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Dynamo-Altay	7:1 ✺
02.12.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:4 ✺
30.11.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Norilsk	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Bars Kazan - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
28.11.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Norilsk	2:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
24.08.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Norilsk	3:2
VHL
21.02.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Norilsk	3:2
27.09.24	Norilsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:8
23.12.23	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Norilsk	3:0
17.10.23	Norilsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	6:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
19.08.23	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Norilsk	6:2

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