Match Info

VHL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Kuznetsk Metallurgists (Novokuznetsk)


	Metallurg Novokuznetsk		Gornyak-UGMK

	1	X	2
	1.63	4.26	5.1
	1.63	4.4	4.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)	4.33 ↑ (3.9)	4.77 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
58.2%

Draw
21.9%

Gornyak-UGMK
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

24%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

24.5%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak UGMK Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Podskrebalin N. (G)	30. Novosyolov N. (G)
77. Vinogradov A.	85. Zhuravlyov Y.
75. Starikov L.	72. Trofimov Y.
24. Khrapov F.	76. Kashtanov A.
43. Verba M. (A)	14. Makhrin M.
33. Shablovsky Z.	44. Lukhovskoy N.
Line 2
47. Churkin V.	83. Karpovich D.
8. Naumov V.	26. Ishimnikov N.
10. Sheshin D.	7. Gordin A.
89. Guslistov N.	13. Zaytsev O. (C)
97. Ovchinnikov D.	19. Chernikov Y.
Line 3
9. Belov D.	4. Bolshakov M.
46. Berezin M.	50. Shchemerov A.
17. Sokolov D.	96. Miller N.
40. Apalkov D. (C)	29. Khremkin K.
59. Perevalov A.	56. Ovchinnikov I. (A)
Line 4
71. Grzheletsky M.	22. Molodtsov D.
54. Chibrikov I.	59. Razdyakonov V.
18. Serdyuk Y.	18. Sushchev V.
50. Kurbatov V.	36. Egorov E.
61. Gorshkov A. (A)
Substitutes
94. Bogdanov N. (G)	93. Romashkin P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
04:21, 1 - 0, Shablovsky Z. (G), Serdyuk Y. (A), Churkin V. (A2)
10:46, 2 - 0, Perevalov A. (G), Guslistov N. (A), Churkin V. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
02:40, 3 - 0, Serdyuk Y. (G), Gorshkov A. (A),
18:39, 4 - 0, Apalkov D. (G), Perevalov A. (A),
19:38, 5 - 0, Naumov V. (G), Shablovsky Z. (A), Khrapov F. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Metallurg Novokuznetsk (VHL) leads series 3-1. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 4.

Metallurg N is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gornyak-UGMK has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Metallurg N may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Metallurg N is a strong favorite.

We predict that Metallurg N will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 68:44. (average 3.4:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:17. (average 3.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	12	6	0	3	3	22:14	15

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.16%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
16.04.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:7 ✺
14.04.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	1:0 ✺
09.04.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	CSK VVS Samara - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW
- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
16.04.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:7 ✺
14.04.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	1:0 ✺
09.04.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Molot Perm	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
16.04.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:7
14.04.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:2
11.04.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	1:0
09.04.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	2:1
27.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 OT
22.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:5
12.03.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:2

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