Match Info

VHL

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Kuznetsk Metallurgists (Novokuznetsk)


	Metallurg Novokuznetsk		Magnitka Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	1.85	4.05	3.28
	1.86	4.15	3.47	Watch
	1.76	4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.55)	4.07 ↓ (4.53)	3.38 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
50.3%

Draw
22.6%

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

20.3%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

22.2%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metallurg Novokuznetsk's form might have worsened.

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Magnitka Magnitogorsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Podskrebalin N. (G)	23. Amirbekov J. (G)
46. Berezin M.	21. Yegorov A.
51. Mineyev M.	37. Gololobov D.
17. Sokolov D.	36. Mastryukov A.
40. Apalkov D. (C)	15. Grass M.
61. Gorshkov A. (A)	9. Boltanov A. (A)
Line 2
77. Vinogradov A.	32. Shetle E.
9. Belov D.	4. Zhloba N. (C)
88. Shalagin M.	74. Zhugin V.
89. Guslistov N.	13. Zimin N. (A)
18. Serdyuk Y.	88. Rybin I.
Line 3
47. Churkin V.	7. Timashov N.
75. Starikov L.	28. Zhukov K.
97. Ovchinnikov D.	31. Mirzabalayev A.
24. Khrapov F.	18. Tyutnev P.
10. Sheshin D. (A)	93. Nechayev I.
Line 4
54. Chibrikov I.	14. Medvedev S.
59. Perevalov A.	95. Osipovich B.
50. Kurbatov V.	97. Galenyuk M.
33. Shablovsky Z.	77. Kuzyakin A.
Substitutes
94. Bogdanov N. (G)	20. Kramzin Y. (G)
	43. Penzin Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
05:02, 0 - 1, Boltanov A. (G), Grass M. (A), Mastryukov A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
00:57, 0 - 2, Zimin N. (G), Penzin Y. (A), Shetle E. (A2)
01:23, 1 - 2, Serdyuk Y. (G), Guslistov N. (A), Shalagin M. (A2)
05:48, 1 - 3, Kuzyakin A. (G), Shetle E. (A),
09:30, 2 - 3, Serdyuk Y. (G), Vinogradov A. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
17:16, 2 - 4, Mirzabalayev A. (G),
19:10, 2 - 5, Osipovich B. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Magnitka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Metallurg N will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 2.3:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 2.4:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	12	6	0	3	3	22:14	15
21	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	9	4	0	3	2	18:14	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
29.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelmet	3:2 ✺
27.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 OT ✺
23.01.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:4 penalties ✺
21.01.26	Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:1 OT ✺
19.01.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
29.01.26	Dynamo-Altay - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	3:4 OT ✺
24.01.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Tambov	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Rostov	2:3 ✺
20.01.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Buran Voronezh	3:1 ✺
16.01.26	Omskie Krylia - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
18.10.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	6:4
05.04.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:4
03.04.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 OT
01.04.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:0
29.03.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:2
27.03.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:0
24.03.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	1:2

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