The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk 19.1%
Draw 20%
Metallurg Novokuznetsk 60.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.7%
21.6%
55.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.7%
23.5%
51.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metallurg Novokuznetsk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Novokuznetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Olympia Kirovo Chepetsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Kuzin A. S. (G)
73. Podskrebalin N. (G)
79. Gusev M. M.
47. Churkin V.
91. Lyakhov A.
53. Shchemerov A.
86. Korobintsev V.
17. Sokolov D.
26. Fischenko I. (A)
40. Apalkov D. (C)
59. Sorokin D.
61. Gorshkov A. (A)
Line 2
18. Tolpegin D.
54. Chibrikov I.
7. Myslyayev S.
9. Belov D.
24. Pishchalnikov P.
88. Shalagin M.
31. Shiafotdinov K.
21. Kodola V.
69. Remov A.
33. Shablovsky Z.
Line 3
89. Gainullin I.
8. Naumov V.
74. Antipin V.
26. Tkach S.
34. Ponomaryov T.
97. Ovchinnikov D.
25. Pikov M. (A)
24. Khrapov F.
87. Pereskokov V.
10. Sheshin D. (A)
Line 4
4. Fedotov A. (C)
75. Starikov L.
16. Pasmanik L.
59. Perevalov A.
14. Drobin A.
50. Kurbatov V.
17. Almazov N.
89. Guslistov N.
Substitutes
1. Chechelev D. (G)
90. Khashin L. (G)
15. Novokshenov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
01:53, 0 - 1, Shalagin M. (G), Ovchinnikov D. (A),
10:48, 1 - 1, Sorokin D. (G), Fischenko I. (A), Tolpegin D. (A2)
18:16, 1 - 2, Shalagin M. (G), Shablovsky Z. (A), Churkin V. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
10:21, 2 - 2, Pishchalnikov P. (G), Shiafotdinov K. (A), Gainullin I. (A2)
11:33, 2 - 3, Sheshin D. (G), Naumov V. (A),
19:21, 3 - 3, Gusev M. M. (G), Ponomaryov T. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 2)
1, Shalagin M. (Penalty Shot),
1, Pereskokov V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Sokolov D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Shiafotdinov K. (Penalty Shot),
3, Gorshkov A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Novokshenov I. (Penalty Shot),
4, Kodola V. (Penalty Shot),
4, Almazov N. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
Kirovo-Chepetsk has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Metallurg N is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Metallurg N may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Metallurg N is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kirovo-Chepetsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 1.3:3.7).
Including home match between the teams, Kirovo-Chepetsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
12
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
17
7
2
3
5
31:22
21
22
Olympia
18
5
2
1
10
43:50
15
Last Results with these Odds
Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.7%, but this team recently wins 79% of matches with these odds.
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Kuzin A. S. (G) 
Kodola V. 
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