Match Info

VHL

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Kuznetsk Metallurgists (Novokuznetsk)


	Metallurg Novokuznetsk		Molot Perm

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.53	4.83	Watch
	1.64	4.3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.79)	4.42 ↑ (4.25)	4.67 ↑ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
58.6%

Draw
21.3%

Molot Perm
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

22%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

21.2%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metallurg Novokuznetsk's performance.

Molot Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Molot Perm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Molot Perm Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Metallurg N will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Podskrebalin N. (G)	40. Gorshkov Y. (G)
8. Naumov V. (A)	42. Labutkin Y.
51. Mineyev M.	44. Yerokhin A. (C)
88. Shalagin M.	51. Kitsyn M. (A)
40. Apalkov D. (C)	61. Polyakov V.
33. Shablovsky Z.	19. Rogovsky I.
Line 2
54. Chibrikov I.	83. Basistyj K.
77. Vinogradov A.	16. Averin N.
17. Sokolov D.	91. Nikolaev I.
89. Guslistov N. (A)	10. Plastinin V. (A)
10. Sheshin D.	15. Zenchikov I.
Line 3
47. Churkin V.	86. Zaitsev D.
75. Starikov L.	55. Kozhevnikov A.
59. Perevalov A.	34. Mikhasyonok V.
24. Khrapov F.	71. Kolesnikov Y.
97. Ovchinnikov D.	11. Lapin D.
Line 4
9. Belov D.	59. Sokolov N.
14. Mikhalyov V.	18. Shcherbakov P.
50. Kurbatov V.	13. Yabelov D.
18. Serdyuk Y.	81. Galimzyanov R.
Substitutes
94. Bogdanov N. (G)	90. Guskov Y. (G)
71. Grzheletsky M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
00:13, 0 - 1, Polyakov V. (G), Yerokhin A. (A), Labutkin Y. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
04:51, 1 - 1, Sokolov D. (G),
15:48, 2 - 1, Mineyev M. (G), Ovchinnikov D. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
01:08, 3 - 1, Guslistov N. (G), Starikov L. (A),
10:02, 4 - 1, Shablovsky Z. (G), Mineyev M. (A), Sokolov D. (A2)
18:43, 5 - 1, Sheshin D. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 1.

Metallurg N is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Molot's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Metallurg N may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Metallurg N has had a series of away games.

In this match, Metallurg N is a strong favorite.

We predict that Metallurg N will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 51:40. (average 3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 3.1:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 52.35%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
28.10.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:3 OT ✺
22.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:5 ✺
20.10.25	Chelmet - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	6:4 ✺
16.10.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLW
- HC Molot Perm
VHL
28.10.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Molot Perm	3:2 penalties ✺
25.10.25	Norilsk - Molot Perm	4:1 ✺
21.10.25	Molot Perm - SKA-VMF	2:1 penalties ✺
19.10.25	Molot Perm - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:2 ✺
12.10.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Molot Perm	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
10.01.25	Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:2 penalties
12.11.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Molot Perm	0:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Molot Perm	3:1
VHL
11.12.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Molot Perm	2:5
07.11.23	Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:3 OT
23.12.22	Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:4
24.10.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Molot Perm	1:2 penalties

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