Match Info

VHL

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Kristall Saratov		Metallurg Novokuznetsk

	1	X	2
	4.09	3.85	1.57
	4.00	3.75	1.54
	4.35	4.45	1.64	Watch
	4.30	4.40	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (4.16)	4.11 ↓ (4.2)	1.59 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristall Saratov
21.5%

Draw
21.8%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

22.3%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

20.2%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristall Saratov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristall Saratov than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Novokuznetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kristall Saratov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Metallurg N (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Metallurg N (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
88. Baranchikov I. (G)	1. Lozebnikov D. (G)
24. Koryagin V.	12. Kryukov T.
83. Boldyrev D.	89. Teryayev S. (C)
96. Konkin D.	97. Galimov E.
71. Polshakov Z.	15. Utkin D.
99. Basin D.	16. Manukyan A.
Line 2
8. Egorov E.	4. Churkin V.
32. Semeneko M. (C)	47. Medvedev P.
21. Chervontsev N.	38. Demidov S.
29. Krasnov I.	17. Podkorytov A. (A)
79. Larichev V.	87. Gerasimov S.
Line 3
92. Vyalov F.	9. Belov D.
14. Medvedev S.	67. Afanasyev M. (A)
9. Balabolkin I.	10. Sheshin D.
7. Samoilov Y.	81. Spiridonov Y.
51. Asylayev N.	59. Perevalov A.
Line 4
18. Kryuk S.	8. Naumov V.
64. Sorokin S.	28. Ospanov R.
25. Shcherbatov A.	33. Shablovsky Z.
34. Shitov A.	29. Vasilkov A.
Substitutes
17. Sidorov Y.	71. Grzheletsky M.
30. Yeryomenko M. (G)	20. Vinogradov Z. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:31, 0 - 1, Belov D. (G), Podkorytov A. (A), Demidov S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:08, 0 - 2, Galimov E. (G), Manukyan A. (A), Podkorytov A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kristall Saratov won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Metallurg N may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Metallurg N is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Kristall Saratov in today's match, at odds of 4.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Kristall Saratov has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:24 (averaging 2.2:4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kristall Saratov against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:8 goals (averaging 2.3:2.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	12	6	0	3	3	22:14	15
12	Kristall Saratov	11	5	2	1	3	30:34	15

Last Results with these Odds

Kristall Saratov - the odds 4.16 are the expected chance of winning is 22.54%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 55.14%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristall Saratov
VHL
03.10.26	Kristall Saratov - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	3:2 ✺
01.10.26	Kristall Saratov - Norilsk	2:3 penalties ✺
27.09.26	Kaluga - Kristall Saratov	2:3 ✺
25.09.26	AKM - Kristall Saratov	7:2 ✺
23.09.26	Ryazan - Kristall Saratov	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLWLW
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
03.10.26	Dizel Penza - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Tambov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:0 ✺
29.09.26	Buran Voronezh - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:1 penalties ✺
25.09.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Omskie Krylia	1:2 OT ✺
23.09.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Zauralie Kurgan	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
13.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Kristall Saratov	5:1
09.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3
03.03.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Kristall Saratov	7:2
19.09.24	Kristall Saratov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:1
07.01.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Kristall Saratov	4:3
15.10.23	Kristall Saratov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:4

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