The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dizel Penza 32.2%
Draw 24.9%
Metallurg Novokuznetsk 42.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.4%
24%
47.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.1%
24.6%
46.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Metallurg Novokuznetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Dizel Penza - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Metallurg N (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
52. Dagestansky D. (G)
1. Lozebnikov D. (G)
9. Balanov Y.
12. Kryukov T.
75. Pogorishny O. (A)
89. Teryayev S. (C)
47. Bobylyov V.
97. Galimov E.
13. Svishchyov K.
15. Utkin D.
69. Boluchevsky A. (A)
16. Manukyan A.
Line 2
25. Rudakov G.
4. Churkin V.
83. Sukhov S.
47. Medvedev P.
22. Bain M.
38. Demidov S.
7. Savunov D.
17. Podkorytov A. (A)
97. Borisenkov A.
87. Gerasimov S.
Line 3
59. Nikitin Y.
9. Belov D.
24. Pelevin A.
67. Afanasyev M. (A)
70. Gazizov R.
10. Sheshin D.
87. Mingaleyev D. (C)
81. Spiridonov Y.
33. Mukhanov T.
59. Perevalov A.
Line 4
91. Opolinsky M.
33. Shablovsky Z.
5. Gafarov G.
28. Ospanov R.
81. Mayorov N.
41. Aliyev R.
84. Utkin M.
29. Vasilkov A.
23. Chesnokov G.
Substitutes
27. Arzamastsev A. (G)
20. Vinogradov Z. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
10:50, 0 - 1, Gerasimov S. (G), Demidov S. (A), Churkin V. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:47, 0 - 2, Utkin D. (G), Gerasimov S. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 1.
Dizel has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Metallurg N is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Metallurg N holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for Dizel in today's match, at odds of 3.12.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dizel has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 17 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:71 (averaging 1.8:3.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dizel against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with 18:39 goals (averaging 1.6:3.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
10
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
12
6
0
3
3
22:14
15
18
Dizel
11
3
2
2
4
24:24
12
Last Results with these Odds
Dizel Penza - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.4%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.57%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.