Match Info

VHL

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Kuznetsk Metallurgists (Novokuznetsk)


	Metallurg Novokuznetsk		Toros Neftekamsk

	1	X	2
	1.43	5.05	5.75	Watch
	1.52	4.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.66)	4.78 ↑ (4.55)	5.63 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
63.6%

Draw
19.7%

Toros Neftekamsk
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

20.6%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

20.3%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metallurg Novokuznetsk's performance.

Toros Neftekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toros Neftekamsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metallurg Novokuznetsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toros Neftekamsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Toros Neftekamsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
94. Bogdanov N. (G)	49. Braginsky D. (G)
8. Naumov V. (A)	9. Orlov G.
51. Mineyev M.	85. Budnitsky V. (A)
88. Shalagin M.	10. Kolesnikov S.
40. Apalkov D. (C)	81. Volokitin P. (A)
33. Shablovsky Z.	24. Andreichenko V.
Line 2
54. Chibrikov I.	76. Pykhtin D.
77. Vinogradov A.	4. Chebotaryov V. (C)
17. Sokolov D.	94. Petrenko D.
89. Guslistov N. (A)	72. Zavizhsky M.
10. Sheshin D.	17. Sychyov V.
Line 3
47. Churkin V.	89. Shcherbakov N.
75. Starikov L.	52. Kolganov A.
59. Perevalov A.	80. Galiyev E.
24. Khrapov F.	42. Koltsov N.
97. Ovchinnikov D.	38. Skoropad N.
Line 4
9. Belov D.	45. Kurbanov Z.
86. Piskunov P.	3. Shatilo I.
50. Kurbatov V.	14. Chyorny A.
18. Serdyuk Y.	93. Gimbatov R.
Substitutes
73. Podskrebalin N. (G)	1. Yelin I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:43, 1 - 0, Vinogradov A. (G), Apalkov D. (A),
19:59, 2 - 0, Mineyev M. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:14, 3 - 0, Naumov V. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 4.

Metallurg N is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Toros has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Toros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Metallurg N is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Metallurg N will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 49:39. (average 3.1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 3.5:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.51%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
30.10.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Molot Perm	5:1 ✺
28.10.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:3 OT ✺
22.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:5 ✺
20.10.25	Chelmet - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL
- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
30.10.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Toros Neftekamsk	4:3 OT ✺
27.10.25	Norilsk - Toros Neftekamsk	1:2 OT ✺
23.10.25	Toros Neftekamsk - SKA-VMF	3:2 OT ✺
21.10.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:4 OT ✺
14.10.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Toros Neftekamsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
14.01.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:5
08.11.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Toros Neftekamsk	4:1
05.12.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Toros Neftekamsk	4:1
09.11.23	Toros Neftekamsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:3
21.12.22	Toros Neftekamsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:5 OT
26.10.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:1
31.01.22	Toros Neftekamsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	5:2

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