Match Info

VHL

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Dvorets Sporta Arktika (Norilsk)


	Norilsk		Omskie Krylia

	1	X	2
	2.86	3.54	1.98
	2.75	3.40	1.92
	3.13	4.14	1.97	Watch
	3.00	3.90	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.86)	3.75 ↓ (3.92)	1.97 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norilsk
30.5%

Draw
23.9%

Omskie Krylia
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

23.9%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

24.6%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Omskie Krylia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omskie Krylia than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Norilsk - Omskie Krylia Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Omskie Krylia will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
98. Gluschenko R. (G)	61. Dolgov S. (G)
11. Steklov K.	42. Petrishchev R.
4. Shalapov Y.	77. Vinogradov A.
36. Zlodeyev D.	24. Anop D.
28. Shevchenko A.	28. Kazakov M.
14. Sinyatkin S.	34. Tagirov K.
Line 2
66. Drugalya S.	4. Yelizarov A.
74. Perelyayev S.	29. Denisov P.
8. Avramenko I.	27. Davydov D.
52. Shevchenko V.	47. Loktev A.
88. Shalagin M.	88. Stepanov Y.
Line 3
3. Melyakov K.	57. Pavlikov M.
5. Krasnov A.	75. Yegorov A.
10. Lipanov A.	17. Zaikin A.
17. Golodnyuk S.	71. Golodnyuk E.
86. Kirileichenko M.	91. Protapovich A.
Line 4
22. Rodionov A.	21. Grigoryev I.
69. Filin F.	12. Korzin V.
87. Gorbunov Y.	20. Levchenko L.
89. Yemets I.	10. Kharionov N.
Substitutes
77. Guskov Y. (G)	98. Nazarevich A.
	94. Yaroslavlev Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
01:37, 1 - 0, Golodnyuk S. (G), Steklov K. (A), Melyakov K. (A2)
14:29, 2 - 0, Shalagin M. (G), Avramenko I. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:18, 3 - 0, Yemets I. (G), Lipanov A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Norilsk (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Omskie Krylia shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Norilsk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

Omskie Krylia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Omskie Krylia in today's match, at odds of 1.96.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Norilsk has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:22 (averaging 3.6:3.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Norilsk against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:9 goals (averaging 2.3:3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	HC Norilsk	14	7	1	2	4	32:32	18
8	Omskie Krylia	11	6	2	0	3	27:16	16

Last Results with these Odds

Omskie Krylia - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.36%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Norilsk
VHL
18.09.26	Norilsk - Zauralie Kurgan	1:2 AET ✺
16.09.26	Norilsk - Rubin Tyumen	4:1 ✺
14.09.26	Norilsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	1:2 penalties ✺
07.09.26	Norilsk - Dynamo-Altay	2:4 ✺
05.09.26	Norilsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL
- Omskie Krylia
VHL
14.09.26	Omskie Krylia - Kaluga	3:2 OT ✺
12.09.26	Omskie Krylia - AKM	1:2 ✺
10.09.26	Omskie Krylia - Ryazan	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
04.09.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Omskie Krylia	1:3 ✺
27.08.26	Omskie Krylia - Toros Neftekamsk	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
21.02.26	Norilsk - Omskie Krylia	1:3
21.09.25	Omskie Krylia - Norilsk	4:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
22.08.25	Omskie Krylia - Norilsk	2:3 OT
VHL
17.02.25	Norilsk - Omskie Krylia	3:2 OT
03.10.24	Omskie Krylia - Norilsk	3:6
16.01.24	Norilsk - Omskie Krylia	3:4 penalties
05.10.23	Omskie Krylia - Norilsk	4:7

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