Match Info

VHL

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Magnitka Magnitogorsk		Metallurg Novokuznetsk

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.58	1.74
	3.4	3.5	1.7
	3.04	3.64	2.14	Watch
	3.15	3.75	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.83)	3.62 ↓ (3.7)	1.89 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
27.5%

Draw
24.9%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
47.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

24.7%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

25.9%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Magnitka Magnitogorsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Novokuznetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Kramzin Y. (G)	1. Lozebnikov D. (G)
21. Yegorov A.	12. Kryukov T.
58. Zelenov Y.	89. Teryayev S. (C)
10. Osipovich B.	33. Shablovsky Z.
97. Galenyuk M. (A)	40. Apalkov D.
8. Demchenko V. (A)	59. Perevalov A.
Line 2
32. Shetle E.	9. Belov D.
15. Poltavchuk N.	67. Afanasyev M. (A)
71. Karapetyan D.	18. Serdyuk Y.
92. Kadyshev K.	17. Podkorytov A.
74. Siryatsky A.	10. Sheshin D. (A)
Line 3
63. Vaulin M.	47. Medvedev P.
4. Zhloba N. (C)	4. Churkin V.
7. Monakhov A.	41. Aliyev R.
25. Serazetdinov D.	71. Grzheletsky M.
9. Kushnaryov A.	87. Gerasimov S.
Line 4
95. Ilyev I.	86. Doroshenko M.
11. Romanov R.	29. Vasilkov A.
88. Fateyev Y.	81. Spiridonov Y.
54. Penzin Y.	28. Ospanov R.
23. Kotkov V.
Substitutes
72. Trofimov A. (G)	97. Galimov E.
	20. Vinogradov Z. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
16:21, 0 - 1, Gerasimov S. (G), Afanasyev M. (A), Apalkov D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
04:40, 0 - 2, Serdyuk Y. (G), Sheshin D. (A), Podkorytov A. (A2)
12:20, 0 - 3, Serdyuk Y. (G), Doroshenko M. (A), Teryayev S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magnitka won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Magnitka (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Metallurg N have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Magnitka may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Metallurg N has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Metallurg N is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Magnitka has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:25 (averaging 2.7:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Magnitka against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:11 goals (averaging 2.8:2.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	20	9	3	3	5	41:26	27
24	Magnitka Magnitogorsk	16	5	0	6	5	31:35	16

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 42.92%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
23.10.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:3 penalties ✺
21.10.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Norilsk	2:3 OT ✺
14.10.26	Kaluga - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	3:1 ✺
12.10.26	AKM - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:3 ✺
10.10.26	Ryazan - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLWL
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
23.10.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:1 ✺
17.10.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Molot Perm	0:2 ✺
15.10.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:2 penalties ✺
13.10.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Izhstal	3:2 penalties ✺
11.10.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
31.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:5
18.10.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	6:4
05.04.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:4
03.04.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 OT
01.04.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:0
29.03.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:2
27.03.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:0

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