Match Info

VHL

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Krytyy detskiy ledovyy dvorets sporta (Magnitogorsk)


	Magnitka Magnitogorsk		Metallurg Novokuznetsk

	1	X	2
	2.83	3.99	2.17
	2.31	3.92	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.31)	3.96 ↑ (3.84)	2.39 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
36.7%

Draw
23.8%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

24.4%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

24%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Novokuznetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
23. Amirbekov J. (G)	94. Bogdanov N. (G)
21. Yegorov A.	51. Mineyev M. (A)
37. Gololobov D.	75. Starikov L.
36. Mastryukov A. (A)	88. Shalagin M.
15. Grass M.	40. Apalkov D. (C)
9. Boltanov A. (C)	59. Perevalov A.
Line 2
32. Shetle E.	12. Kryukov T.
7. Timashov N.	77. Vinogradov A.
31. Mirzabalayev A.	17. Sokolov D.
18. Tyutnev P.	89. Guslistov N.
98. Fursa A.	10. Sheshin D.
Line 3
63. Vaulin M.	8. Naumov V. (A)
6. Gromov N.	9. Belov D.
95. Osipovich B.	18. Serdyuk Y.
97. Galenyuk M.	33. Shablovsky Z.
77. Kuzyakin A.	97. Ovchinnikov D.
Line 4
51. Poltavchuk N.	7. Puzanov A.
25. Serazetdinov D.	47. Churkin V.
13. Zimin N. (A)	86. Piskunov P.
86. Kurichev N.	50. Kurbatov V.
	71. Grzheletsky M.
Substitutes
68. Golnik R.	73. Podskrebalin N. (G)
20. Kramzin Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
04:46, 0 - 1, Ovchinnikov D. (G), Sokolov D. (A), Naumov V. (A2)
12:54, 1 - 1, Grass M. (G), Gololobov D. (A), Mastryukov A. (A2)
16:50, 2 - 1, Mirzabalayev A. (G), Tyutnev P. (A),
2nd Period (3 - 0)
04:21, 3 - 1, Fursa A. (G), Mirzabalayev A. (A), Vaulin M. (A2)
09:46, 4 - 1, Grass M. (G), Boltanov A. (A), Poltavchuk N. (A2)
11:12, 5 - 1, Osipovich B. (G), Kuzyakin A. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
00:26, 5 - 2, Shalagin M. (G), Mineyev M. (A),
12:19, 5 - 3, Shalagin M. (G), Mineyev M. (A),
14:49, 5 - 4, Shablovsky Z. (G), Starikov L. (A), Mineyev M. (A2)
18:21, 6 - 4, Kuzyakin A. (G), Timashov N. (A), Shetle E. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magnitka won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Magnitka won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 2.1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Magnitka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
16.10.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:1 ✺
14.10.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Norilsk	2:3 ✺
09.10.25	SKA-VMF - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	1:4 ✺
07.10.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:4 ✺
01.10.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWL
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
16.10.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:5 ✺
11.10.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Torpedo-Gorky	7:3 ✺
09.10.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Khimik	2:3 ✺
07.10.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Zvezda Moscow	5:1 ✺
02.10.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
05.04.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:4
03.04.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 OT
01.04.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:0
29.03.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:2
27.03.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:0
24.03.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	1:2
22.03.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	1:4

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