Match Info

Liiga

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Let's Go Areena (Mikkeli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Mikkelin Jukurit		HPK

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.80	2.25
	2.80	3.60	2.25
	2.85	3.75	2.23	Watch
	2.80	3.71	2.25
	2.91	3.61	2.26	Watch
	2.75	3.65	2.20
	2.78	3.92	2.23	Watch
	2.75	3.70	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.63)	3.72 ↓ (3.96)	2.24 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikkelin Jukurit
33.4%

Draw
25%

HPK
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

23.6%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

25.9%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikkelin Jukurit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mikkelin Jukurit, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Mikkelin Jukurit - HPK Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. HPK will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
41. Myrenberg J. (G)	1. Saarinen K. (G)
53. Korkola N.	43. Kukkonen M. (A)
70. Saari E.	4. Jokirinne V.
29. Boudon L.	95. Ranford B.
16. Ford C. (C)	12. Paivarinta S. (A)
15. Hayhurst J.	94. Hakulinen A. (C)
Line 2
26. Sustr A.	7. Pyke G.
36. Ruusu E.	39. Nychuk C.
10. Olsen T. (A)	81. Oden J.
25. Sjodin L.	29. MacEachern C.
92. Olofsson J.	11. de Jong E.
Line 3
93. Karki A.	16. Gabrielsson H.
27. Hodass B.	5. Andzans A.
89. Tammela J.	28. Kukuca A.
20. Addamo J.	64. Kainulainen H.
28. Koponen E.	10. Vesterinen R.
Line 4
40. Lintuniemi A. (A)	44. Kopiloff O.
34. Ahonen V.	55. Piironen V.
18. Sandvik V.	25. Huttunen H.
57. Chrons A.	15. Korhonen O.
96. Frilander J.	8. Alitalo V.
Substitutes
30. Ospiov A. (G)	65. Crespin J. (G)
Coaches
. Virtanen J.	. Manner M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
02:37, (2 min),
05:03, Addamo J. (2 min),
05:44, 0 - 1, Nychuk C. (G), Ranford B. (A), Paivarinta S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:11, 1 - 1, Olsen T. (G), Sustr A. (A), Hodass B. (A2)
01:50, Andzans A. (2 min),
08:32, 1 - 2, Paivarinta S. (G), Jokirinne V. (A), Hakulinen A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
03:25, 1 - 3, Paivarinta S. (G), Ranford B. (A), Nychuk C. (A2)
19:30, 1 - 4, Paivarinta S. (G), Ranford B. (A), Kukkonen M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 2.

Jukurit has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

HPK is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 58:58. (average 2.9:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Jukurit won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:29. (average 3.9:2.9).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Jukurit: 2.24% Hameenlinna: 2.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Jukurit	14	6	3	0	5	36:29	24
10	Hameenlinna	12	4	3	0	5	28:35	18

Last Results with these Odds

HPK - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.94%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikkelin Jukurit
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	SaiPa - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:1 ✺
21.08.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:0 ✺
20.08.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - KooKoo	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - JYP	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Jokerit	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWWL
- HPK Hockey
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	HPK - Lukko	4:3 penalties ✺
20.08.26	HPK - Ässät	3:0 ✺
19.08.26	HPK - Vaasan Sport	4:2 ✺
12.08.26	Ässät - HPK	3:1 ✺
Finnish Pitsiturnaus
07.08.26	HPK - Jokerit	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
03.01.26	HPK - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:1
27.09.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - HPK	1:3
30.11.24	HPK - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:0
10.09.24	Mikkelin Jukurit - HPK	7:3
01.02.24	Mikkelin Jukurit - HPK	7:1
19.12.23	HPK - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:2
13.10.23	Mikkelin Jukurit - HPK	3:4 OT

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