The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tappara 55.5%
Draw 21.9%
HPK 22.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.8%
21.8%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
21.9%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 4.
Tappara has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
HPK has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Tappara for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tappara has recorded 16 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:36 (averaging 3.1:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tappara against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 30:12 goals (averaging 3:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
10
Tappara
18
7
2
3
6
51:43
28
14
Hameenlinna
19
5
3
0
11
39:55
21
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Tappara: 21.69% Hameenlinna: 2.07%
Last Results with these Odds
Tappara - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.85%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.