Match Info

Liiga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tampere Deck Arena (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Tappara		HPK

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.75	7
	1.46	4.7	6.4
	1.4	5.3	6.6
	1.42	5.04	6.24	Watch
	1.4	4.8	5.5
	1.38	5.35	6.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 (1.4)	5.16 ↓ (5.2)	6.39 ↑ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tappara
67.1%

Draw
18.2%

HPK
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

18%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

19.1%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tappara - HPK Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tappara (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5, OT - Tappara (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 9.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 9.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tappara will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tappara (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Heljanko C. (G)	1. Saarinen K. (G)
21. Matinmikko A.	43. Kukkonen M.
23. Jokipakka J.	4. Jokirinne V.
11. Simontaival K.	88. Kiiskinen J.
62. Mattila Ju. (A)	12. Paivarinta S.
27. Tanus K.	94. Hakulinen A. (A)
Line 2
44. Juolevi O.	63. Eronen E.
26. Mattila Je.	20. Pyke G.
88. Blichfeld J.	44. Kopiloff O.
22. Rasanen A.	15. Korhonen O.
78. Rautiainen B.	92. Toivonen V.
Line 3
63. Tuulola J. (A)	5. Andzans A.
6. Brickley D.	74. Nikkila P. (C)
82. Tuulola E.	25. Huttunen H.
42. Rauhala O. (C)	23. Loponen M.
25. Haapala H.	10. Vesterinen R.
Line 4
89. Suvanto O.	3. Kangas K.
41. Nykanen J.	8. Alitalo V.
24. Addamo J.	64. Kainulainen H. (A)
51. Sylvegard E.	11. Caron T.
Substitutes
77. Metsola J. (G)	33. Vayrynen M. (G)
Coaches
. Gronborg R.	. Manner M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:47, 1 - 0, Sylvegard E. (G), Nykanen J. (A), Matinmikko A. (A2)
06:16, Rautiainen B. (2 min),
19:35, (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
04:44, Eronen E. (2 min),
05:37, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
15:47, Korhonen O. (2 min),

Preview

Tappara leads series 3-1. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

HPK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tappara is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Tappara will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 66:39. (average 3.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:12. (average 3.2:1.3).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Tappara: 25.28% Hameenlinna: 2.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Tappara	11	5	2	0	4	32:24	19
10	Hameenlinna	12	4	3	0	5	28:35	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tappara hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
04.04.26	HPK - Tappara	3:4 OT ✺
02.04.26	Tappara - HPK	3:1 ✺
30.03.26	HPK - Tappara	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Tappara - HPK	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	HPK - Tappara	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWL
- HPK Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
04.04.26	HPK - Tappara	3:4 OT ✺
02.04.26	Tappara - HPK	3:1 ✺
30.03.26	HPK - Tappara	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Tappara - HPK	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	HPK - Lukko	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
04.04.26	HPK - Tappara	3:4 OT
02.04.26	Tappara - HPK	3:1
30.03.26	HPK - Tappara	2:1
28.03.26	Tappara - HPK	2:1
17.03.26	HPK - Tappara	3:2 OT
05.01.26	Tappara - HPK	2:1
05.12.25	HPK - Tappara	1:3

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