Match Info

Liiga

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Let's Go Areena (Mikkeli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Mikkelin Jukurit		Vaasan Sport

	1	X	2
	2.20	4.00	2.65
	2.30	3.80	2.60
	2.40	3.70	2.63	Watch
	2.46	3.63	2.57
	2.46	3.76	2.56	Watch
	2.40	3.55	2.50
	2.39	3.96	2.52	Watch
	2.35	3.80	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.48)	3.78 ↓ (3.85)	2.57 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikkelin Jukurit
39.2%

Draw
24.6%

Vaasan Sport
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

24.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

26.2%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikkelin Jukurit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Mikkelin Jukurit - Vaasan Sport Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Jukurit will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Vaasa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
41. Myrenberg J. (G)	53. Harkonen M. (G)
53. Korkola N.	8. Viljanen V.
70. Saari E.	55. Koivisto M. (C)
28. Koponen E.	3. Bertrand C.
16. Ford C. (C)	28. Sundstrom J.
15. Hayhurst J.	71. Nieminen V.
Line 2
26. Sustr A.	26. Burger E.
36. Ruusu E.	62. Akerstrom S.
89. Tammela J.	22. Walther I.
29. Boudon L.	21. Ostman K. (A)
92. Olofsson J.	17. Diaco G.
Line 3
93. Karki A.	16. Johnsson T.
27. Hodass B.	6. Kangas K.
10. Olsen T. (A)	86. Granath P.
20. Addamo J. (A)	9. Grainger L.
96. Frilander J.	80. Miketinac K.
Line 4
6. Soini S.	7. Ervasti K.
18. Sandvik V.	63. Heikkinen L. (A)
57. Chrons A.	18. Timonen S.
34. Ahonen V.	10. Pietila B.
Substitutes
11. Horvath B.	31. Ortio J. (G)
30. Ospiov A. (G)	12. Straka A.
Coaches
. Virtanen J.	. Mikkola L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
03:46, 1 - 0, Hodass B. (G),
09:48, Pietila B. (2 min),
10:46, Diaco G. (Penalty Shot),
13:37, 2 - 0, Saari E. (G), Korkola N. (A), Addamo J. (A2)
14:35, Karki A. (2 min),
14:35, Grainger L. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
02:43, Tammela J. (2 min),
17:42, Ervasti K. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:55, Ostman K. (2 min),
02:40, 3 - 0, Olofsson J. (G), Sustr A. (A), Boudon L. (A2)
04:15, Hodass B. (2 min),
08:05, Saari E. (2 min),
15:52, Heikkinen L. (2 min),
19:02, 4 - 0, Boudon L. (G), Olsen T. (A), Sustr A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 4.

In recent matches, Jukurit has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vaasa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Vaasa has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 59:52. (average 3:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Jukurit won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 3.3:2.6).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Jukurit: 2.24% Vaasan Sport: 0.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Jukurit	14	6	3	0	5	36:29	24
15	Vaasan Sport	11	3	1	2	5	20:31	13

Last Results with these Odds

Mikkelin Jukurit - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.93%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga
04.09.26	KalPa - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:0 ✺
01.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - HPK	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	SaiPa - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:1 ✺
21.08.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:0 ✺
20.08.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - KooKoo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWW
- Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga
04.09.26	Pelicans - Vaasan Sport	6:3 ✺
01.09.26	Vaasan Sport - Jokerit	5:4 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	Ässät - Vaasan Sport	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	HPK - Vaasan Sport	4:2 ✺
14.08.26	Kärpät - Vaasan Sport	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
22.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Vaasan Sport	6:2
10.01.26	Vaasan Sport - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:3
17.12.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Vaasan Sport	4:0
23.09.25	Vaasan Sport - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:4
05.03.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Vaasan Sport	3:6
04.01.25	Vaasan Sport - Mikkelin Jukurit	6:3
29.11.24	Mikkelin Jukurit - Vaasan Sport	4:6

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