The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pelicans 56.6%
Draw 22%
Vaasan Sport 21.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.3%
22.7%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.2%
22.3%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pelicans's performance.
Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vaasan Sport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pelicans that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vaasan Sport could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Pelicans - Vaasan Sport Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Pelicans will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Pelicans (1.44) (votes: 88%) โญ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
32. Bartosak P. (G)
53. Harkonen M. (G)
15. Lerby C.
8. Viljanen V.
65. Nutivaara M. (A)
55. Koivisto M. (C)
37. Dudas A.
22. Walther I.
95. Batna O.
28. Sundstrom J. (A)
9. Fortier G.
17. Diaco G.
Line 2
44. Kousa M.
7. Ervasti K.
47. Jordan M. (C)
62. Akerstrom S.
87. Myklukha O.
86. Granath P.
7. Stapley B.
89. Palve O.
96. Kumpula J.
71. Nieminen V.
Line 3
4. Johannesen J.
16. Johnsson T.
55. Falk H.
26. Burger E.
27. Lind O.
3. Bertrand C.
12. Hamalainen S.
9. Grainger L.
82. Kettunen A.
44. Harrison B.
Line 4
49. Amhamdi O.
6. Kangas K.
74. Teutari E.
63. Heikkinen L. (A)
23. Forsberg C. (A)
12. Straka A.
91. Pohjalainen A.
10. Pietila B.
Substitutes
89. Kolehmainen E.
24. Levanen E.
45. Olkinuora J. (G)
31. Ortio J. (G)
Coaches
. Kapanen S.
. Mikkola L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
02:19, 0 - 1, Straka A. (G), Pietila B. (A), Viljanen V. (A2)
11:46, Falk H. (2 min),
13:38, 0 - 2, Grainger L. (G), Diaco G. (A), Walther I. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
06:13, Falk H. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
04:40, Johnsson T. (2 min),
08:21, 1 - 2, Kettunen A. (G), Lind O. (A), Stapley B. (A2)
15:00, Batna O. (2 min),
15:07, (2 min),
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 12th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 5.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Pelicans could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Vaasa has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Pelicans holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Pelicans has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 52:44 (averaging 2.6:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pelicans against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 30:23 goals (averaging 2.7:2.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
12
Pelicans
16
7
1
1
7
40:35
24
15
Vaasan Sport
17
5
1
2
9
32:51
19
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Vaasan Sport: 0.78%
Last Results with these Odds
Pelicans - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 47.27%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Vaasan Sport - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 30.02%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.