The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Minnesota Golden Gophers 30.2%
Draw 22.3%
Michigan State Spartans 47.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
22.3%
41.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
23.8%
39.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota Golden Gophers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minnesota Golden Gophers's form might have worsened.
Michigan State Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michigan State Spartans's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Golden Gophers than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minnesota Golden Gophers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michigan State Spartans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Minnesota Golden Gophers - Michigan State Spartans Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 0.
Minnesota has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Michigan State is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Michigan State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Minnesota has had a series of away games.
Recently, Michigan State has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 62:55. (average 3.9:3.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:29. (average 4.4:3.6).
Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now
Michigan State Spartans: 7.24% Minnesota Golden Gophers: 2.32%
Last Results with these Odds
Michigan State Spartans - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 41.95%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.